Kings vs. Avalanche prediction: Why Colorado is favored to win Wednesday's NHL matchup [9/30/2026]

Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have re-simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NHL game between the Kings and Avalanche, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Avalanche a 63.0% chance of beating the Kings. According to our model, the Kings (+1.5) have a 60.0% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 57.5% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Puck Line: Kings +1.5 (-149) / Avalanche -1.5 (+134)
• Moneyline: Kings +165, Avalanche -190
• Total: Over/Under 6.5 (+113/-125)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Puck line: Kings +1.5 @ -149 via ESPN BET
• Moneyline: Kings @ +165 via bet365
• Total: Under 6.5 @ -125 via bet365

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Kings vs. Avalanche player props

Who will score a goal in Kings vs. Avalanche?

According to our model, Nathan MacKinnon is most likely to score an anytime goal in Kings vs. Avalanche.

Our projections give MacKinnon a 43.1% chance of scoring a goal at Ball Arena, while the star is a 9.6% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Los Angeles Kings

• Adrian Kempe: 31.1% probability
• Artemi Panarin: 30.6% probability
• Quinton Byfield: 23.0% probability
• Alex Laferriere: 19.5% probability
• Mats Zuccarello: 18.5% probability

Colorado Avalanche

• Nathan MacKinnon: 43.1% probability
• Martin Necas: 35.8% probability
• Brock Nelson: 29.3% probability
• Artturi Lehkonen: 27.9% probability
• Cale Makar: 23.2% probability

First goal scorer predictions

Los Angeles Kings

• Adrian Kempe: 6.2% probability
• Artemi Panarin: 6.1% probability
• Quinton Byfield: 4.3% probability
• Mats Zuccarello: 3.5% probability
• Alex Laferriere: 3.4% probability

Colorado Avalanche

• Nathan MacKinnon: 9.6% probability
• Martin Necas: 7.6% probability
• Artturi Lehkonen: 5.7% probability
• Brock Nelson: 5.2% probability
• Cale Makar: 4.3% probability

Game info & puck drop details

Wednesday's game between the Avalanche and Kings at Ball Arena is scheduled to commence at 10:00 PM ET.

• Who: Los Angeles Kings vs. Colorado Avalanche
• Date: Wednesday, September 30, 2026
• Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
• Venue: Ball Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Avalanche, with a 63.0% win probability, will likely beat the Kings in Wednesday's NHL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NHL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.