Oilers vs. Sharks prediction favors Edmonton to win Saturday's NHL matchup [10/10/2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Saturday's NHL game between the Oilers and Sharks, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Oilers a 57.6% chance of beating the Sharks. According to our model, the Sharks (+1.5) have a 63.3% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 51.0% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Puck Line: Oilers -1.5 (+156) / Sharks +1.5 (-175)
• Moneyline: Oilers -149, Sharks +135
• Total: Over/Under 6.5 (-118/+105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Puck line: Sharks +1.5 @ -175 via BetMGM
• Moneyline: Sharks @ +135 via BetRivers
• Total: Under 6.5 @ +105 via Caesars

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Oilers vs. Sharks player props

Who will score a goal in Oilers vs. Sharks?

According to our model, Connor McDavid is most likely to score an anytime goal in Oilers vs. Sharks.

Our projections give McDavid a 47.1% chance of scoring a goal at SAP Center at San Jose, while the star is a 10.8% chance of registering the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Edmonton Oilers

• Connor McDavid: 47.1% probability
• Leon Draisaitl: 46.9% probability
• Evan Bouchard: 30.7% probability
• Vasily Podkolzin: 29.2% probability
• Kasperi Kapanen: 22.7% probability

San Jose Sharks

• Will Smith: 32.9% probability
• Igor Chernyshov: 31.4% probability
• Kiefer Sherwood: 24.4% probability
• Tyler Toffoli: 24.4% probability
• Mason Marchment: 23.9% probability

First goal scorer predictions

Edmonton Oilers

• Connor McDavid: 10.8% probability
• Leon Draisaitl: 9.6% probability
• Evan Bouchard: 5.1% probability
• Vasily Podkolzin: 5.0% probability
• Kasperi Kapanen: 3.5% probability

San Jose Sharks

• Will Smith: 5.7% probability
• Igor Chernyshov: 5.4% probability
• Tyler Toffoli: 4.5% probability
• Mason Marchment: 4.2% probability
• Kiefer Sherwood: 4.1% probability

Game info & puck drop details

Saturday's game between the Sharks and Oilers at SAP Center at San Jose is scheduled to begin at 4:00 PM ET.

• Who: Edmonton Oilers vs. San Jose Sharks
• Date: Saturday, October 10, 2026
• Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00PM PT
• Venue: SAP Center at San Jose

Conclusion

We predict the Oilers, with a 57.6% win probability, will likely beat the Sharks in Saturday's NHL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NHL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.