Stars vs. Avalanche prediction: Why Colorado is favored to win Wednesday's NHL matchup [10/14/2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NHL matchup between the Stars and Avalanche, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Avalanche a 56.3% chance of defeating the Stars. According to our model, the Stars (+1.5) have a 65.6% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of six goals has a 51.4% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Puck Line: Stars +1.5 (-210) / Avalanche -1.5 (+185)
• Moneyline: Stars +125, Avalanche -133
• Total: Over/Under 6 (-107/-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Puck line: Avalanche -1.5 @ +185 via bet365
• Moneyline: Stars @ +125 via BetRivers
• Total: Under 6 @ -110 via BetMGM

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Avalanche -1.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Stars vs. Avalanche player props

Who will score a goal in Stars vs. Avalanche?

According to our model, Nathan MacKinnon is most likely to score an anytime goal in Stars vs. Avalanche.

Our projections give MacKinnon a 44.8% chance of scoring a goal at Ball Arena, while the star is a 9.1% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Dallas Stars

• Jason Robertson: 36.8% probability
• Mikko Rantanen: 32.2% probability
• Roope Hintz: 25.9% probability
• Tyler Seguin: 24.0% probability
• Jamie Benn: 18.5% probability

Colorado Avalanche

• Nathan MacKinnon: 44.8% probability
• Martin Necas: 36.0% probability
• Artturi Lehkonen: 32.6% probability
• Brock Nelson: 27.2% probability
• Nazem Kadri: 20.2% probability

First goal scorer predictions

Dallas Stars

• Jason Robertson: 7.4% probability
• Mikko Rantanen: 6.3% probability
• Roope Hintz: 5.0% probability
• Tyler Seguin: 4.3% probability
• Justin Hryckowian: 3.7% probability

Colorado Avalanche

• Nathan MacKinnon: 9.1% probability
• Martin Necas: 7.2% probability
• Artturi Lehkonen: 6.7% probability
• Brock Nelson: 5.5% probability
• Nazem Kadri: 3.5% probability

Game info & puck drop details

Wednesday's game between the Avalanche and Stars at Ball Arena is scheduled to begin at 8:30 PM ET.

• Who: Dallas Stars vs. Colorado Avalanche
• Date: Wednesday, October 14, 2026
• Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
• Venue: Ball Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Avalanche, with a 56.3% win probability, will likely beat the Stars in Wednesday's NHL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NHL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.