Avalanche vs. Stars prediction favors Colorado to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [10/13/2026]

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NHL matchup between the Avalanche and Stars, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Avalanche a 51.5% chance of defeating the Stars. According to our model, the Stars (+1.5) have a 69.7% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has a 51.7% chance of staying under.

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Puck Line: Avalanche -1.5 (+220) / Stars +1.5 (-250)
• Moneyline: Avalanche -109, Stars -102
• Total: Over/Under 6 (-108/-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Puck line: Avalanche -1.5 @ +220 via BetRivers
• Moneyline: Avalanche @ -109 via Caesars
• Total: Under 6 @ -110 via BetMGM

According to our best NHL bets, the top play to make on this game is Avalanche to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Avalanche vs. Stars player props

Who will score a goal in Avalanche vs. Stars?

According to our model, Nathan MacKinnon is most likely to score an anytime goal in Avalanche vs. Stars.

Our projections give MacKinnon a 38.8% chance of scoring a goal at American Airlines Center, while the star is a 7.5% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Colorado Avalanche

• Nathan MacKinnon: 38.8% probability
• Martin Necas: 31.0% probability
• Artturi Lehkonen: 27.2% probability
• Brock Nelson: 25.9% probability
• Cale Makar: 23.0% probability

Dallas Stars

• Wyatt Johnston: 37.4% probability
• Jason Robertson: 36.3% probability
• Mikko Rantanen: 28.7% probability
• Roope Hintz: 23.7% probability
• Tyler Seguin: 22.2% probability

First goal scorer predictions

Colorado Avalanche

• Nathan MacKinnon: 7.5% probability
• Martin Necas: 6.0% probability
• Artturi Lehkonen: 5.3% probability
• Brock Nelson: 5.2% probability
• Cale Makar: 3.9% probability

Dallas Stars

• Wyatt Johnston: 7.9% probability
• Jason Robertson: 7.5% probability
• Mikko Rantanen: 5.8% probability
• Tyler Seguin: 4.5% probability
• Roope Hintz: 4.4% probability

Game info & puck drop details

Tuesday's matchup between the Stars and Avalanche at American Airlines Center is scheduled to start at 8:30 PM ET.

• Who: Colorado Avalanche vs. Dallas Stars
• Date: Tuesday, October 13, 2026
• Time: 8:30 PM ET/5:30PM PT
• Venue: American Airlines Center

Conclusion

We predict the Avalanche, with a 51.5% win probability, will likely beat the Stars in Tuesday's NHL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NHL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.