Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights prediction favors Vegas to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [9/29/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Dimers' simulation model projects a 67.9% win probability for the Golden Knights at T-Mobile Arena.

The Chicago Blackhawks take on the Vegas Golden Knights in NHL action.
Chicago Blackhawks vs. Vegas Golden Knights NHL prediction for Tuesday, September 29, 2026.

The Vegas Golden Knights and Chicago Blackhawks are scheduled to meet in the NHL at T-Mobile Arena on Tuesday, with puck drop at 10:30 PM ET.

Dimers' proven NHL model projects the Golden Knights as the most likely winner in this Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights prediction.

This article offers further insights into Tuesday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Hawks vs. Golden Knights prediction and odds

Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have re-simulated the result of Tuesday's NHL game between the Blackhawks and Golden Knights, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Golden Knights a 67.9% chance of defeating the Blackhawks. According to our model, the Blackhawks (+1.5) have a 54.7% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of six goals has a 50.3% chance of staying under.

 

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Puck Line: Blackhawks +1.5 (-110) / Golden Knights -1.5 (+106)
  • Moneyline: Blackhawks +220, Golden Knights -255
  • Total: Over/Under 6 (-115/-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Puck line: Blackhawks +1.5 @ -110 via BetMGM
  • Moneyline: Blackhawks @ +220 via BetMGM
  • Total: Under 6 @ -105 via BetMGM

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Blackhawks +1.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights player props

Who will score a goal in Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights?

According to our model, Mark Stone is most likely to score an anytime goal in Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights.

Our projections give Stone a 35.9% chance of scoring a goal at T-Mobile Arena, while the star is a 7.5% chance of registering the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Chicago Blackhawks

  • Tyler Bertuzzi: 29.5% probability
  • Roman Kantserov: 25.8% probability
  • Patrick Kane: 21.4% probability
  • Nick Lardis: 21.0% probability
  • Ryan Donato: 18.7% probability

Vegas Golden Knights

  • Mark Stone: 35.9% probability
  • Jack Eichel: 32.4% probability
  • Tomas Hertl: 29.0% probability
  • Mitch Marner: 27.8% probability
  • Ivan Barbashev: 25.2% probability

First goal scorer predictions

Chicago Blackhawks

  • Tyler Bertuzzi: 5.9% probability
  • Roman Kantserov: 5.0% probability
  • Nick Lardis: 3.9% probability
  • Patrick Kane: 3.6% probability
  • Frank Nazar: 3.4% probability

Vegas Golden Knights

  • Mark Stone: 7.5% probability
  • Jack Eichel: 6.4% probability
  • Tomas Hertl: 5.2% probability
  • Mitch Marner: 4.9% probability
  • Ivan Barbashev: 4.7% probability

Game info & puck drop details

Tuesday's action between the Golden Knights and Blackhawks at T-Mobile Arena is scheduled to begin at 10:30 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Golden Knights, with a 67.9% win probability, will likely beat the Blackhawks in Tuesday's NHL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NHL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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