Flames vs. Kraken prediction favors Seattle to win Sunday's NHL matchup [10/4/2026]

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Sunday's NHL matchup between the Flames and Kraken, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives the Kraken a 57.0% chance of defeating the Flames. According to our model, the Flames (+1.5) have a 66.1% chance of covering the puck line, while the 5.5-goal over/under has a 52.7% chance of going over.

Latest betting odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

• Puck Line: Flames +1.5 (-189) / Kraken -1.5 (+170)
• Moneyline: Flames +135, Kraken -148
• Total: Over/Under 5.5 (-118/+105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Puck line: Flames +1.5 @ -189 via ESPN BET
• Moneyline: Flames @ +135 via ESPN BET
• Total: Over 5.5 @ -118 via FanDuel

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Flames +1.5 at the spread.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Flames vs. Kraken player props

Who will score a goal in Flames vs. Kraken?

According to our model, Bobby McMann is most likely to score an anytime goal in Flames vs. Kraken.

Our projections give McMann a 33.0% chance of scoring a goal at Climate Pledge Arena, while the star is a 6.6% chance of registering the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Calgary Flames

• Morgan Frost: 25.0% probability
• Joel Farabee: 23.7% probability
• Maxim Tsyplakov: 22.1% probability
• Matthew Coronato: 21.8% probability
• Yegor Sharangovich: 21.7% probability

Seattle Kraken

• Bobby McMann: 33.0% probability
• Jared McCann: 30.6% probability
• Jordan Eberle: 28.9% probability
• Matty Beniers: 20.0% probability
• Kaapo Kakko: 19.8% probability

First goal scorer predictions

Calgary Flames

• Morgan Frost: 4.9% probability
• Maxim Tsyplakov: 4.4% probability
• Joel Farabee: 4.4% probability
• Matthew Coronato: 4.4% probability
• Yegor Sharangovich: 3.9% probability

Seattle Kraken

• Bobby McMann: 6.6% probability
• Jared McCann: 5.8% probability
• Jordan Eberle: 5.6% probability
• Kaapo Kakko: 3.8% probability
• Matty Beniers: 3.7% probability

Game info & puck drop details

Sunday's matchup between the Kraken and Flames at Climate Pledge Arena is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.

• Who: Calgary Flames vs. Seattle Kraken
• Date: Sunday, October 4, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
• Venue: Climate Pledge Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Kraken, with a 57.0% win probability, will likely beat the Flames in Sunday's NHL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NHL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.