Flames vs. Ducks prediction: Why Anaheim is favored to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [10/13/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Dimers' simulation model projects a 60.5% win probability for the Ducks at Honda Center.

The Calgary Flames take on the Anaheim Ducks in NHL action.
Calgary Flames vs. Anaheim Ducks NHL prediction for Tuesday, October 13, 2026.

The Anaheim Ducks and Calgary Flames will meet in the NHL at Honda Center on Tuesday, with puck drop at 9:45 PM ET.

Dimers' advanced NHL model projects the Ducks as the most likely winner in this Flames vs. Ducks prediction.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Flames vs. Ducks prediction and odds

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have re-simulated the result of Tuesday's NHL game between the Flames and Ducks, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Ducks a 60.5% chance of beating the Flames. According to our model, the Flames (+1.5) have a 61.8% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 55.8% chance of staying under.

 

Latest betting odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Puck Line: Flames +1.5 (-166) / Ducks -1.5 (+145)
  • Moneyline: Flames +151, Ducks -164
  • Total: Over/Under 6.5 (+110/-122)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Model picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

  • Puck line: Flames +1.5 @ -166 via bet365
  • Moneyline: Flames @ +151 via Caesars
  • Total: Under 6.5 @ -122 via FanDuel

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.

Flames vs. Ducks player props

Who will score a goal in Flames vs. Ducks?

According to our model, Tristan Luneau is most likely to score an anytime goal in Flames vs. Ducks.

Our projections give Luneau a 46.0% chance of scoring a goal at Honda Center, while the star is a 10.2% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Calgary Flames

  • Morgan Frost: 27.0% probability
  • Matthew Coronato: 25.0% probability
  • Joel Farabee: 22.0% probability
  • Yegor Sharangovich: 21.6% probability
  • Mikael Backlund: 20.2% probability

Anaheim Ducks

  • Tristan Luneau: 46.0% probability
  • Leo Carlsson: 35.4% probability
  • Beckett Sennecke: 33.0% probability
  • Mikael Granlund: 28.9% probability
  • A.J. Greer: 23.2% probability

First goal scorer predictions

Calgary Flames

  • Morgan Frost: 4.9% probability
  • Matthew Coronato: 4.3% probability
  • Joel Farabee: 3.8% probability
  • Yegor Sharangovich: 3.8% probability
  • Mikael Backlund: 3.6% probability

Anaheim Ducks

  • Tristan Luneau: 10.2% probability
  • Leo Carlsson: 7.0% probability
  • Beckett Sennecke: 7.0% probability
  • Mikael Granlund: 5.8% probability
  • A.J. Greer: 4.5% probability

Game info & puck drop details

Tuesday's game between the Ducks and Flames at Honda Center is scheduled to start at 9:45 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Ducks, with a 60.5% win probability, will likely beat the Flames in Tuesday's NHL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NHL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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