Sabres vs. Canadiens prediction: Why Montreal is favored to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [10/13/2026]
Dimers' simulation model projects a 55.5% win probability for the Canadiens at Bell Centre.

NHL action continues on Tuesday at 6:30 PM ET as the Buffalo Sabres lock horns with the Montreal Canadiens at Bell Centre.
Dimers' advanced NHL model projects the Canadiens as the most likely winner in this Sabres vs. Canadiens prediction.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Sabres vs. Habs prediction and odds
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Canadiens a 55.5% chance of defeating the Sabres. According to our model, the Sabres (+1.5) have a 66.1% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 54.3% chance of staying under.
Latest betting odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
- Puck Line: Sabres +1.5 (-185) / Canadiens -1.5 (+160)
- Moneyline: Sabres +135, Canadiens -154
- Total: Over/Under 6.5 (-103/-112)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Model picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Puck line: Sabres +1.5 @ -185 via BetMGM
- Moneyline: Sabres @ +135 via ESPN BET
- Total: Under 6.5 @ -112 via Caesars
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Sabres to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the current available odds.
Sabres vs. Canadiens player props
Who will score a goal in Sabres vs. Canadiens?
According to our model, Cole Caufield is most likely to score an anytime goal in Sabres vs. Canadiens.
Our projections give Caufield a 45.3% chance of scoring a goal at Bell Centre, while the star is a 9.4% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Buffalo Sabres
- Tage Thompson: 42.2% probability
- Jack Quinn: 26.1% probability
- Josh Doan: 26.0% probability
- Noah Ostlund: 22.0% probability
- Josh Norris: 20.8% probability
Montreal Canadiens
- Cole Caufield: 45.3% probability
- Nick Suzuki: 34.1% probability
- Juraj Slafkovsky: 27.3% probability
- Chris Kreider: 23.0% probability
- Alex Newhook: 22.1% probability
First goal scorer predictions
Buffalo Sabres
- Tage Thompson: 8.3% probability
- Josh Doan: 4.9% probability
- Jack Quinn: 4.9% probability
- Noah Ostlund: 3.8% probability
- Josh Norris: 3.7% probability
Montreal Canadiens
- Cole Caufield: 9.4% probability
- Nick Suzuki: 6.5% probability
- Juraj Slafkovsky: 5.0% probability
- Chris Kreider: 4.5% probability
- Alex Newhook: 3.8% probability
Game info & puck drop details
Tuesday's matchup between the Canadiens and Sabres at Bell Centre is scheduled to commence at 6:30 PM ET.
- Who: Buffalo Sabres vs. Montreal Canadiens
- Date: Tuesday, October 13, 2026
- Time: 6:30 PM ET/3:30PM PT
- Venue: Bell Centre
Conclusion
We predict the Canadiens, with a 55.5% win probability, will likely beat the Sabres in Tuesday's NHL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
This article's predictions and probabilities are generated by Dimers' proprietary NHL prediction model. Our editorial team reviews the resulting content for accuracy and presentation before publication.



