Falcons vs. Steelers: NFL Week 1 Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' Falcons vs. Steelers prediction for Sunday, September 13, 2026. Win probabilities, projected final score, current odds, and picks from our NFL machine learning models.
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NFL
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NFL sport icon
NFL
Falcons
13
20
Acrisure Stadium
Steelers
Acrisure Stadium
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Falcons
    0%
  • Steelers
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Falcons
7 0 3 3 13
Steelers
3 10 0 7 20
1 0 2 0 3 0 4 0 5 0 4 0 3 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 3 0 4 0 5 0 4 0 3 0 2 0 1 0
Steelers
Falcons
4th and 13 at the PIT 22
Last Play
End Game

Falcons vs. Steelers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: NFL Week 1

  • Teams: Atlanta Falcons vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
  • Date: Sunday, September 13, 2026
  • Time: 1:00PM ET
  • Venue: Acrisure Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Falcons (+6.5, -104), Steelers (-6.5, -102)
  • Moneyline: Falcons +264, Steelers -270
  • Total (Over/Under): 40.5 points (-102/+100)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Falcons: 29.2%
  • Steelers: 70.8%

These probabilities come from two machine learning models that assess more than 100 data points for each NFL matchup, combining their outputs to project all our major betting markets.

Projected final score

Our predicted final score for this NFL matchup is Falcons 17-23 Steelers.

This prediction draws on each team's scoring trends and player stats, weighed across both of our data models.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

The numbers give the Falcons a win probability of 29.2%, while the Steelers have a win probability of 70.8%.

Summary

The Falcons face off against the Steelers in the NFL at Acrisure Stadium on Sunday, September 13, 2026.

Our Falcons vs. Steelers predictions, built on real-time data and matchup-specific modeling, help guide your decisions.. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NFL predictions and the best NFL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NFL props, NFL futures, NFL odds, and the latest NFL news.