Broncos vs. Chiefs: NFL Week 1 Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' Broncos vs. Chiefs prediction for Monday, September 14, 2026. Win probabilities, projected final score, current odds, and picks from our NFL machine learning models.
FINAL
NFL
FINAL
NFL sport icon
NFL
Broncos
10
31
Arrowhead Stadium
Chiefs
Arrowhead Stadium
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Broncos
    0%
  • Chiefs
    100%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Broncos
7 0 3 0 10
Chiefs
7 7 10 7 31
1 0 2 0 3 0 4 0 5 0 4 0 3 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 3 0 4 0 5 0 4 0 3 0 2 0 1 0
Chiefs
Broncos
2nd and 11 at the DEN 18
Last Play
End Game

Broncos vs. Chiefs: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: NFL Week 1

  • Teams: Denver Broncos vs. Kansas City Chiefs
  • Date: Monday, September 14, 2026
  • Time: 8:15PM ET
  • Venue: Arrowhead Stadium

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Broncos (+1.5, +102), Chiefs (-1.5, -104)
  • Moneyline: Broncos +117, Chiefs -115
  • Total (Over/Under): 42.5 points (-104/+102)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Broncos: 41.4%
  • Chiefs: 58.6%

These probabilities come from two machine learning models that assess more than 100 data points for each NFL matchup, combining their outputs to project all our major betting markets.

Projected final score

Our predicted final score for this NFL matchup is Broncos 19-22 Chiefs.

This prediction draws on each team's scoring trends and player stats, weighed across both of our data models.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

The numbers give the Broncos a win probability of 41.4%, while the Chiefs have a win probability of 58.6%.

Summary

The Broncos face off against the Chiefs in the NFL at Arrowhead Stadium on Monday, September 14, 2026.

Our Broncos vs. Chiefs predictions, built on real-time data and matchup-specific modeling, help guide your decisions.. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert NFL predictions and the best NFL bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NFL props, NFL futures, NFL odds, and the latest NFL news.