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Zhizhen Zhang vs. Daniel Altmaier prediction, odds, picks for ATP Italian Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Zhang vs Altmaier predictions for ATP Italian Open.
Zhizhen Zhang will face Daniel Altmaier in the round of 128 at the ATP Rome event on Wednesday.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Daniel Altmaier as the most likely winner of the Zhang vs. Altmaier match.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Zhang vs. Altmaier prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Zhang-Altmaier men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Altmaier a 55% chance of winning against Zhang at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Additionally, Altmaier has a 53% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show that the bookmakers have got it right with the +1.5 games spread, with each player projected to have a 50-50 chance of covering, while the over 22.5 games has a 52% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Zhizhen Zhang vs. Daniel Altmaier odds
We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Zhang | Altmaier |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +130 | -152 |
| First Set | +120 | -152 |
| Game Spread | +1.5 (-108) | -1.5 (-126) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-118) | u22.5 (-112) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Zhang vs. Altmaier picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Zhang | +130 |
| First Set | Altmaier | -118 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Zhizhen Zhang to win.
Although Zhang is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Zhang vs. Altmaier updates and essential details
The ATP Italian Open match between Zhizhen Zhang and Daniel Altmaier is scheduled to start on Wednesday at 5:00 AM ET.
- Who: Zhizhen Zhang vs. Daniel Altmaier
- Date: Wednesday, May 6, 2026
- Approx. Time: 5:00 AM ET/2:00AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Rome, Italy Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 128
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.
Conclusion
We predict Daniel Altmaier, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat Zhizhen Zhang at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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