Jets vs. Penguins prediction: Why Pittsburgh is favored to win Saturday's NHL matchup [3/21/2026]

The Pittsburgh Penguins and Winnipeg Jets are scheduled to meet in the NHL at PPG Paints Arena on Saturday, with puck drop at 1:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model projects the Penguins as the most likely winner of the Jets vs. Penguins game.

This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Jets vs. Penguins prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NHL game between the Jets and Penguins 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the Penguins a 58% chance of beating the Jets.

According to our model, the Jets (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 55% chance of staying under.

Jets vs. Penguins odds

We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Jets	Penguins
Puck Line	+1.5 (-170)	-1.5 (+154)
Moneyline	+136	-154
Total	o6.5 (-105)	u6.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Jets vs. Penguins picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Puck Line	Jets +1.5	-170
Moneyline	Jets	+136
Total	Under 6.5	-110

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Jets vs. Penguins player props

Who will score a goal in Jets vs. Penguins?

According to our model, Kyle Connor is most likely to score an anytime goal in Jets vs. Penguins.

Our projections give Connor a 37.1% chance of scoring a goal at PPG Paints Arena, while the star is a 7.5% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Winnipeg Jets

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Kyle Connor	37.1%
Mark Scheifele	33.2%
Gabriel Vilardi	29.0%
Cole Perfetti	28.8%
Jonathan Toews	17.6%

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player	Anytime Goal Probability
Bryan Rust	33.4%
Yegor Chinakhov	30.2%
Rickard Rakell	28.7%
Anthony Mantha	28.6%
Sidney Crosby	27.2%

First goal scorer predictions

Winnipeg Jets

Player	First Goal Probability
Kyle Connor	7.5%
Mark Scheifele	6.6%
Gabriel Vilardi	5.7%
Cole Perfetti	5.6%
Jonathan Toews	2.8%

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player	First Goal Probability
Bryan Rust	6.4%
Anthony Mantha	5.7%
Sidney Crosby	5.5%
Yegor Chinakhov	5.3%
Rickard Rakell	5.0%

Jets vs. Penguins game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's action between the Penguins and Jets at PPG Paints Arena is scheduled to begin at 1:00 PM ET.

• Who: Winnipeg Jets vs. Pittsburgh Penguins
• Date: Saturday, March 21, 2026
• Time: 1:00 PM ET/10:00AM PT
• Venue: PPG Paints Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Penguins, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat the Jets on Saturday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Jets vs. Penguins insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.