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Jets vs. Stars prediction: Dallas favored to win Thursday's NHL matchup [4/2/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Winnipeg Jets vs Dallas Stars predictions for NHL Thursday.
The Dallas Stars will square off with the Winnipeg Jets in NHL action at American Airlines Center on Thursday, beginning at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model projects the Stars as the most likely winner of the Jets vs. Stars game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Jets vs. Stars prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's NHL matchup between the Jets and Stars, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Stars a 59% chance of beating the Jets.
According to our model, the Jets (+1.5) have a 64% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 5.5 goals has a 53% chance of going over.
Jets vs. Stars odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Jets | Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-175) | -1.5 (+154) |
| Moneyline | +140 | -160 |
| Total | o5.5 (-120) | u5.5 (+102) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Jets vs. Stars picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Jets +1.5 | -175 |
| Moneyline | Jets | +140 |
| Total | Over 5.5 | -120 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Jets +1.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Jets vs. Stars player props
Who will score a goal in Jets vs. Stars?
According to our model, Jason Robertson is most likely to score an anytime goal in Jets vs. Stars.
Our projections give Robertson a 39.4% chance of scoring a goal at American Airlines Center, while the star is an 8.2% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Winnipeg Jets
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Kyle Connor | 38.7% |
| Mark Scheifele | 33.9% |
| Cole Perfetti | 28.9% |
| Gabriel Vilardi | 28.9% |
| Jonathan Toews | 16.3% |
Dallas Stars
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Jason Robertson | 39.4% |
| Wyatt Johnston | 38.6% |
| Mikko Rantanen | 37.5% |
| Matt Duchene | 26.4% |
| Mavrik Bourque | 24.2% |
First goal scorer predictions
Winnipeg Jets
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Kyle Connor | 7.9% |
| Mark Scheifele | 6.6% |
| Gabriel Vilardi | 5.8% |
| Cole Perfetti | 5.4% |
| Jonathan Toews | 2.9% |
Dallas Stars
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Jason Robertson | 8.2% |
| Wyatt Johnston | 7.9% |
| Mikko Rantanen | 7.0% |
| Matt Duchene | 5.5% |
| Jamie Benn | 4.5% |
Jets vs. Stars game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's matchup between the Stars and Jets at American Airlines Center is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Winnipeg Jets vs. Dallas Stars
- Date: Thursday, April 2, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: American Airlines Center
Conclusion
We predict the Stars, with a 59% win probability, will likely beat the Jets on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Jets vs. Stars insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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