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West Ham vs. Manchester City prediction, odds, Premier League picks [3/14/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get West Ham vs Manchester City predictions for Premier League Saturday.
West Ham will face Manchester City in Premier League action at London Stadium on Saturday, starting at 4:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven Premier League model predicts Manchester City as the most likely winner of the West Ham vs. Manchester City game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
West Ham vs. Manchester City prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Premier League match between West Ham and Manchester City 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently indicates a 17.6% chance of West Ham winning, a 62.6% chance for Manchester City, and a 19.8% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 63% chance of going over, according to our model.
West Ham vs. Manchester City odds
We have sourced the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| West Ham | Manchester City | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +440 | -145 | +333 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -165 | +140 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
West Ham vs. Manchester City picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Manchester City | -145 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -165 |
According to our best Premier League bets, the top play to make on this game is Manchester City to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
West Ham vs. Manchester City: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-1 Manchester City win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| WHU 1-2 MCI | 9.9% |
| WHU 0-2 MCI | 9.3% |
| WHU 1-1 MCI | 9.1% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 58.1% chance of both sides finding the net and a 41.9% chance that at least one doesn’t.
West Ham vs. Manchester City game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Premier League matchup between West Ham and Manchester City at London Stadium is scheduled to start in the USA at 4:00 PM ET.
- Who: West Ham vs. Manchester City
- Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026
- Time: 4:00 PM ET/1:00PM PT
- Venue: London Stadium
Conclusion
According to our computer model, West Ham has a 17.6% win probability on Saturday, Manchester City has a 62.6% win probability, and there is a 19.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate West Ham vs. Manchester City insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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