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Capitals vs. Blues prediction: Close contest projected after new data released for Tuesday's NHL matchup [3/24/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Washington Capitals vs St. Louis Blues predictions for NHL Tuesday.
The St. Louis Blues will take on the Washington Capitals, in what is expected to be a tight NHL game, at Enterprise Center on Tuesday, beginning at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model gives an equal chance for both both teams to win the Capitals-Blues matchup.
This article offers further insights into Tuesday's Capitals vs. Blues matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Caps vs. Blues prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's NHL matchup between the Capitals and Blues 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model can't split the two teams, giving both the Capitals and Blues a 50% chance of winning the game.
According to our model, the Capitals (+1.5) have a 71% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 5.5 goals has a 53% chance of going over.
Capitals vs. Blues odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Capitals | Blues |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-285) | -1.5 (+210) |
| Moneyline | -111 | -105 |
| Total | o5.5 (-115) | u5.5 (-104) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Capitals vs. Blues picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Capitals +1.5 | -285 |
| Moneyline | Blues | -105 |
| Total | Over 5.5 | -115 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 5.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Capitals vs. Blues player props
Who will score a goal in Capitals vs. Blues?
According to our model, Dylan Holloway is most likely to score an anytime goal in Capitals vs. Blues.
Our projections give Holloway a 37.7% chance of scoring a goal at Enterprise Center, while the star is a 7.9% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Washington Capitals
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Aliaksei Protas | 28.6% |
| Alex Ovechkin | 26.7% |
| Tom Wilson | 25.0% |
| Dylan Strome | 23.8% |
| Pierre-Luc Dubois | 22.1% |
St. Louis Blues
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Dylan Holloway | 37.7% |
| Jordan Kyrou | 29.2% |
| Robert Thomas | 27.1% |
| Jimmy Snuggerud | 25.3% |
| Pavel Buchnevich | 23.0% |
First goal scorer predictions
Washington Capitals
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Aliaksei Protas | 5.7% |
| Tom Wilson | 4.8% |
| Dylan Strome | 4.8% |
| Alex Ovechkin | 4.7% |
| Pierre-Luc Dubois | 4.0% |
St. Louis Blues
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Dylan Holloway | 7.9% |
| Jordan Kyrou | 6.0% |
| Jimmy Snuggerud | 5.4% |
| Robert Thomas | 5.2% |
| Pavel Buchnevich | 4.2% |
Caps vs. Blues game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's action between the Blues and Capitals at Enterprise Center is scheduled to commence at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Washington Capitals vs. St. Louis Blues
- Date: Tuesday, March 24, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Enterprise Center
Conclusion
We predict a close game between the Capitals and Blues on Tuesday, with each team having a 50% chance of winning.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Capitals vs. Blues insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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