Vilius Gaubas vs. Pablo Carreno Busta prediction, odds, picks for ATP Estoril Open 2026

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Written by Mac Douglass

Get Gaubas vs Carreno Busta predictions for ATP Estoril Open.

Vilius Gaubas vs Pablo Carreno Busta Tennis Prediction.
Our Vilius Gaubas and Pablo Carreno Busta tennis prediction is based on thousands of simulations of the upcoming match.

Vilius Gaubas will square off with Pablo Carreno Busta in the round of 32 at the ATP Estoril event on Tuesday.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Pablo Carreno Busta as the most likely winner of the Gaubas vs. Carreno Busta match.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Gaubas vs. Carreno Busta prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 16?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's Gaubas-Carreno Busta men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Carreno Busta a 64% chance of winning against Gaubas at the ATP Estoril Open tournament.

 

Vilius Gaubas vs. Pablo Carreno Busta odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type Gaubas Carreno Busta
Moneyline +180 -220
Game Spread +3.5 (-122) -3.5 (-105)
Total Games o22.5 (-104) u22.5 (-130)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Gaubas vs. Carreno Busta picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets in this matchup. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Moneyline Gaubas +180
First Set Carreno Busta -104

According to our best tennis bets, the top play to make on this match is over 22.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Gaubas vs. Carreno Busta updates and essential details

The ATP Estoril Open match between Vilius Gaubas and Pablo Carreno Busta is scheduled to start on Tuesday at 7:00 AM ET.

  • Who: Vilius Gaubas vs. Pablo Carreno Busta
  • Date: Tuesday, July 21, 2026
  • Approx. Time: 7:00 AM ET/4:00AM PT
  • Tournament: ATP Estoril, Portugal Men's Singles 2026
  • Round: Round of 32

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Pablo Carreno Busta, with a 64% win probability, will likely beat Vilius Gaubas at the ATP Estoril Open tournament.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.

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