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Mammoth vs. Flames prediction: Why Utah is favored to win Sunday's NHL matchup [4/12/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Utah Mammoth vs Calgary Flames predictions for NHL Sunday.
The Calgary Flames will take on the Utah Mammoth in NHL action at Scotiabank Saddledome on Sunday, starting at 9:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model predicts the Mammoth as the most likely winner of the Mammoth vs. Flames game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Mammoth vs. Flames prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NHL game between the Mammoth and the Flames, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Mammoth a 58% chance of defeating the Flames.
According to our model, the Flames (+1.5) have a 65% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Mammoth vs. Flames odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mammoth | Flames |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+160) | +1.5 (-180) |
| Moneyline | -160 | +136 |
| Total | o6 (-115) | u6 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mammoth vs. Flames picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Flames +1.5 | -180 |
| Moneyline | Flames | +136 |
| Total | Under 6 | -105 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Flames +1.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mammoth vs. Flames player props
Who will score a goal in Mammoth vs. Flames?
According to our model, Dylan Guenther is most likely to score an anytime goal in Mammoth vs. Flames.
Our projections give Guenther a 37.7% chance of scoring a goal at Scotiabank Saddledome, while the star is an 8.3% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Utah Mammoth
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Dylan Guenther | 37.7% |
| Logan Cooley | 31.9% |
| Clayton Keller | 31.3% |
| Lawson Crouse | 25.5% |
| Nick Schmaltz | 24.6% |
Calgary Flames
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Yegor Sharangovich | 23.3% |
| Morgan Frost | 23.2% |
| Matthew Coronato | 23.2% |
| Blake Coleman | 22.1% |
| Victor Olofsson | 21.2% |
First goal scorer predictions
Utah Mammoth
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Dylan Guenther | 8.3% |
| Logan Cooley | 6.6% |
| Clayton Keller | 5.9% |
| Lawson Crouse | 4.6% |
| Nick Schmaltz | 4.3% |
Calgary Flames
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Morgan Frost | 4.5% |
| Yegor Sharangovich | 4.4% |
| Matthew Coronato | 4.1% |
| Victor Olofsson | 3.9% |
| Mikael Backlund | 3.7% |
Mammoth vs. Flames game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's action between the Flames and Mammoth at Scotiabank Saddledome is scheduled to commence at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: Utah Mammoth vs. Calgary Flames
- Date: Sunday, April 12, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Scotiabank Saddledome
Conclusion
We predict Mammoth, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat the Flames in Sunday's NHL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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