Raptors vs. Cavaliers prediction: Cleveland to win, Donovan Mitchell projected for big game in Game 5 [2026 NBA Playoffs]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Toronto Raptors vs Cleveland Cavaliers predictions for NBA Playoffs Wednesday.
Toronto Raptors vs. Cleveland Cavaliers NBA prediction for Game 5 of the series.
The Cleveland Cavaliers and Toronto Raptors will meet in Game 5 of their NBA Playoffs series at Rocket Arena on Wednesday, with tipoff at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model projects the Cavaliers as the most likely winner of the Raptors vs. Cavaliers Game 5 matchup.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Cavaliers lineup will feature players like Donovan Mitchell, James Harden and Evan Mobley, while the Raptors will be led by RJ Barrett, Brandon Ingram and Scottie Barnes.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Raptors vs. Cavs prediction: Who will win Game 5?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NBA Playoffs game between the Raptors and Cavaliers, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Cavaliers a 75% chance of beating the Raptors in Game 5 of the series. Our predicted final score has the Cavaliers winning 112-105.
According to our model, the Raptors (+8.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 218 points has a 51% chance of going over.
Raptors vs. Cavaliers Game 5 odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Bet Type
Raptors
Cavaliers
Spread
+8.5 (+100)
-8.5 (-130)
Moneyline
+320
-360
Total
o218 (-110)
u218 (-110)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Raptors vs. Cavaliers picks and best bet for Game 5
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
According to our best NBA bets for Wednesday, the top play to make on this game is Raptors +8.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Raptors vs. Cavaliers Game 5 player props
Looking for Raptors vs. Cavaliers NBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Rocket Arena.
RJ Barrett is expected to lead the Raptors with 22 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists, while Donovan Mitchell is projected to have 27 points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists for the Cavaliers.
Donovan Mitchell is projected to score 27 points tonight.
The NBA Playoffs is an annual postseason tournament held to determine the league's champion.
Sixteen teams, including the Raptors and Cavaliers, reached the 2026 NBA Playoffs, which consists of four rounds: the First Round, Conference Semifinals, Conference Finals, and NBA Finals.
Each round of the NBA Playoffs is played as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins moving on to the next round until a champion is crowned.
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Conclusion
We predict the Cavaliers, with a 75% win probability, will likely beat the Raptors in Wednesday's NBA playoffs matchup.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
