Raptors vs. Cavaliers prediction: Cleveland to win, Donovan Mitchell projected for big game in Game 5 [2026 NBA Playoffs]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Toronto Raptors vs Cleveland Cavaliers predictions for NBA Playoffs Wednesday.
Toronto Raptors vs. Cleveland Cavaliers NBA prediction for Game 5 of the series.
The Cleveland Cavaliers and Toronto Raptors are scheduled to meet in Game 5 of their NBA Playoffs series at Rocket Arena on Wednesday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations and today’s injury updates, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Cavaliers as the most likely winner of the Raptors vs. Cavaliers Game 5 matchup.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Cavaliers lineup will feature stars like Donovan Mitchell, James Harden and Evan Mobley, while the Raptors will rely on Brandon Ingram, RJ Barrett and Scottie Barnes.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Raptors vs. Cavs prediction: Who will win Game 5?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NBA Playoffs game between the Raptors and Cavaliers, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Cavaliers a 78% chance of beating the Raptors in Game 5 of the series. Our predicted final score has the Cavaliers winning 114-105.
According to our model, the Raptors (+9.5) have a 54% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 219.5 points has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting.
Raptors vs. Cavaliers Game 5 odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Bet Type
Raptors
Cavaliers
Spread
+9.5 (-105)
-9.5 (-112)
Moneyline
+340
-375
Total
o219.5 (-108)
u219.5 (-108)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Raptors vs. Cavaliers picks and best bet for Game 5
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
According to our best NBA bets for Wednesday, the top play to make on this game is Raptors +9.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Raptors vs. Cavaliers Game 5 player props
NBA player props are a common way to wager on Wednesday's Raptors vs. Cavaliers game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Rocket Arena.
Brandon Ingram is expected to lead the Raptors with 22 points, 5 rebounds and 4 assists, while Donovan Mitchell is projected to have 28 points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists for the Cavaliers.
Donovan Mitchell is projected to score 28 points tonight.
The NBA Playoffs is an annual postseason tournament held to determine the league's champion.
A total of 16 teams, including the Raptors and Cavaliers, reached the 2026 NBA Playoffs, which spans four rounds: the First Round, Conference Semifinals, Conference Finals, and NBA Finals.
Each round is played as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins advancing to the next round until a champion is crowned.
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Conclusion
We predict the Cavaliers, with a 78% win probability, will likely beat the Raptors in Wednesday's NBA playoffs matchup.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
