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Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs. Mattia Bellucci prediction, odds, picks for ATP Italian Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Etcheverry vs Bellucci predictions for ATP Italian Open.
Tomas Martin Etcheverry and Mattia Bellucci are scheduled to meet in the round of 64 of the ATP Italian Open event on Saturday.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Tomas Etcheverry as the most likely winner of the Etcheverry vs. Bellucci match.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Etcheverry vs. Bellucci prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 32?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Etcheverry-Bellucci men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives Etcheverry a 73% chance of defeating Bellucci at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Additionally, Etcheverry has a 70% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Etcheverry (-3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 53% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs. Mattia Bellucci odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Etcheverry | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -292 | +255 |
| First Set | -250 | +200 |
| Game Spread | -3.5 (-132) | +3.5 (-102) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-105) | u22.5 (-128) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Etcheverry vs. Bellucci picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Etcheverry | -292 |
| First Set | Bellucci | -128 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Tomas Etcheverry to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Etcheverry vs. Bellucci updates and essential details
The ATP Italian Open match between Tomas Martin Etcheverry and Mattia Bellucci is scheduled to start on Saturday at 6:10 AM ET.
- Who: Tomas Martin Etcheverry vs. Mattia Bellucci
- Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
- Approx. Time: 6:10 AM ET/3:10AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Rome, Italy Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 64
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Tomas Etcheverry, with a 73% win probability, will likely beat Mattia Bellucci at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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