Thanasi Kokkinakis vs. Pablo Carreno Busta prediction, odds, picks for French Open 2026

Thanasi Kokkinakis will square off with Pablo Carreno Busta in the second round of the French Open Men's Singles 2026 on Wednesday.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Pablo Carreno Busta as the most likely winner of the Kokkinakis vs. Carreno Busta match.

This article offers further insights into Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Kokkinakis vs. Carreno Busta prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 32?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's Kokkinakis-Carreno Busta men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model gives Carreno Busta a 71% chance of beating Kokkinakis in the French Open 2026.

Additionally, Carreno Busta has a 64% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Kokkinakis (+5.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 37.5 games has a 51% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Thanasi Kokkinakis vs. Pablo Carreno Busta odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Kokkinakis	Carreno Busta
Moneyline	+235	-278
First Set	+162	-200
Game Spread	+5.5 (-122)	-5.5 (-110)
Total Games	o37.5 (-105)	u37.5 (-140)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Kokkinakis vs. Carreno Busta picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Moneyline	Kokkinakis	+235
First Set	Carreno Busta	-105

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Thanasi Kokkinakis to win.

Although Kokkinakis is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Kokkinakis vs. Carreno Busta updates and essential details

The French Open 2026 match between Thanasi Kokkinakis and Pablo Carreno Busta is scheduled to begin on Wednesday at 9:20 AM ET.

• Who: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs. Pablo Carreno Busta
• Date: Wednesday, May 27, 2026
• Approx. Time: 9:20 AM ET/6:20AM PT
• Tournament: French Open Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Second round

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Pablo Carreno Busta, with a 71% win probability, will likely beat Thanasi Kokkinakis at the French Open 2026.

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