Thanasi Kokkinakis vs. Pablo Carreno Busta prediction, odds, picks for French Open 2026

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Get Kokkinakis vs Carreno Busta predictions for French Open 2026.

Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Pablo Carreno Busta Tennis Prediction.
Our Thanasi Kokkinakis and Pablo Carreno Busta tennis prediction is based on thousands of simulations of the upcoming match.

Thanasi Kokkinakis and Pablo Carreno Busta are scheduled to meet in the second round of the French Open 2026 on Wednesday.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Pablo Carreno Busta as the most likely winner of the Kokkinakis vs. Carreno Busta match.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Kokkinakis vs. Carreno Busta prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 32?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's Kokkinakis-Carreno Busta men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives Carreno Busta a 60% chance of winning against Kokkinakis in the French Open 2026.

Additionally, Carreno Busta has a 56% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Kokkinakis (+3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 37.5 games has a 54% chance of hitting, according to our model.

 

Thanasi Kokkinakis vs. Pablo Carreno Busta odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type Kokkinakis Carreno Busta
Moneyline +160 -189
First Set +130 -164
Game Spread +3.5 (-110) -3.5 (-122)
Total Games o37.5 (-115) u37.5 (-112)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Kokkinakis vs. Carreno Busta picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Moneyline Kokkinakis +160
First Set Carreno Busta -115

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Thanasi Kokkinakis to win.

Although Kokkinakis is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Kokkinakis vs. Carreno Busta updates and essential details

The French Open 2026 match between Thanasi Kokkinakis and Pablo Carreno Busta is scheduled to start on Wednesday at 5:00 AM ET.

  • Who: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs. Pablo Carreno Busta
  • Date: Wednesday, May 27, 2026
  • Approx. Time: 5:00 AM ET/2:00AM PT
  • Tournament: French Open Men's Singles 2026
  • Round: Second round

All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Pablo Carreno Busta, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat Thanasi Kokkinakis at the French Open 2026.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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