Tennis best bets: Indian Wells predictions and picks for Sunday, March 8

Sunday's best tennis best bets have been identified using Dimers' elite in-house sports betting predictions that uncover mis-priced sportsbook odds, resulting in our profitable best tennis bets.

Once again, we have an exciting slate of tennis predictions scheduled for Sunday, March 8, 2026, where we've identified four solid tennis betting opportunities from the current ATP Tour and WTA Tour event, the BNP Paribas Open, at Indian Wells.

While the public sometimes struggles to find an edge in tennis betting markets, the Dimers models have identified four tennis bets with significant value on Sunday.

While these four tennis picks can also be bet straight up, we've combined them into a tennis betting parlay targeting four specific matches.

By combining these four tennis betting picks we've transformed high-confidence data into a single ticket with +977 odds, and our spirits are sky high after nailing this +605 odds tennis parlay recently, as well as a number of big tennis bets at January's Australian Open.

Here's the breakdown of the best tennis bets we've used to craft our four-leg tennis parlay at +977 odds.

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RELATED: How we beat the odds using tennis data

Tennis best bets: Picks and predictions for Sunday, March 8

Bet: Clara Tauson -3.5 Games (-138)

Tournament: BNP Paribas Open (Indian Wells)

Women's singles matchup: T. Gibson vs. C. Tauson

Time: March 8, 1:00pm (ET)

We open our tennis bets by backing the sheer baseline power of Clara Tauson. She faces Australian Talia Gibson in a matchup where Tauson's weight-of-shot should dictate the terms of engagement from the first serve. A 3.5-game spread is a very manageable hurdle for a player capable of hitting through these slower desert courts.

Prediction: Our model projects Tauson covering this number 61.7% of the time, creating a reliable 3.7% edge against the -138 odds.

Why Tauson -3.5 is the pick: To cover -3.5, Tauson essentially needs to break Gibson's serve once per set without being broken back (e.g., 6-4, 6-4). Given the discrepancy in raw firepower between these two, we expect Tauson to secure the necessary breaks efficiently. This is a high-probability anchor to kick off our tennis bets today.

Bet: Jaqueline Cristian +6.5 Games (+106)

Tournament: BNP Paribas Open (Indian Wells)

Women's singles matchup: A. Sabalenka vs. J. Cristian

Time: March 8, 1:00pm (ET)

For the second bet, we look to fade the blowout narrative surrounding world-class talent Aryna Sabalenka. Sabalenka is a massive favorite, but her hyper-aggressive style naturally leads to unforced errors, which can extend games and sets. The sportsbooks are giving Jaqueline Cristian a towering 6.5-game cushion at plus-money (+106), which is simply too much value to pass up.

Prediction: We assign a 56.5% probability to Cristian keeping this match within the number, offering a massive 7.9% edge.

Why Cristian +6.5 games is the pick: Finding nearly an 8% edge at positive odds is rare. A 6.5-game spread means Sabalenka must win in a complete rout (like 6-2, 6-3) to cover. Cristian has the grit and defensive baseline game to extend rallies, forcing Sabalenka to hit extra balls. We don't need Cristian to win; we just need her to hold serve a few times.

Bet: Alexandra Eala +5.5 Games (-130)

Tournament: BNP Paribas Open (Indian Wells)

Women's singles matchup: C. Gauff vs. A. Eala

Time: March 8, 1:00pm (ET)

We stay in the WTA draw for our third bet, fading another massive favorite in Coco Gauff. The American star faces the talented young lefty Alexandra Eala. While Gauff is the superior athlete, her forehand and serve can occasionally break down, leading to double faults and tight scorelines. A 5.5-game spread offers a fantastic safety net.

Prediction: Our simulation sees Eala covering the +5.5 spread 60.7% of the time, generating a solid 4.2% edge.

Why Eala +5.5 games is the pick: Eala’s lefty game can create awkward angles that disrupt rhythm. Even if Gauff dictates the match, a 6-4, 6-3 or 7-5, 6-3 victory still easily covers our spread. By taking these generous points on a capable underdog, we add a highly reliable, data-backed layer of safety to our tennis parlay.

Bet: Denis Shapovalov +6.5 Games (-140)

Tournament: BNP Paribas Open (Indian Wells)

Matchup: D. Shapovalov vs. J. Sinner

Time: March 8, 3:00pm (ET)

We close out our best bets with a blockbuster on the men's side. Jannik Sinner is arguably the best player in the world right now, but giving a dangerous shot-maker like Denis Shapovalov 6.5 games is a remarkably high line for an ATP match. Shapovalov's explosive serve and lefty forehand give him the tools to hold his own service games effectively.

Prediction: Our model projects Shapovalov staying within this spread a towering 64.5% of the time, offering a highly lucrative 6.1% edge.

Why Shapovalov +6.5 games is the pick: In men's tennis, 6.5 games is a massive mountain to climb, even for Sinner. If Shapovalov is landing his first serve, he will force Sinner into tiebreaks or tight sets. A 6-4, 6-3 loss still cashes this ticket cleanly. Trusting the big-serving underdog to avoid a blowout is the perfect, high-percentage way to bring home our parlay today.

Tennis best bets

Indian Wells picks for Sunday, March 8

Bet 1: Tauson -3.5 (-138)

Bet 2: Cristian +6.5 (+106)

Bet 3: Eala +5.5 (-130)

Bet 4: Shapovalov +6.5 (-140)

Parlay odds: +977