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Sunderland vs. Newcastle prediction, odds, Premier League picks [12/14/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Sunderland vs Newcastle predictions for Premier League Sunday.
Sunderland will face Newcastle in Premier League action at Stadium of Light on Sunday, commencing at 9:00AM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven Premier League model predicts Newcastle as the most likely winner of the Sunderland vs. Newcastle game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Sunderland vs. Newcastle prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's Premier League match between Sunderland and Newcastle 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model indicates a 28.7% chance of Sunderland winning, a 45.8% chance for Newcastle, and a 25.5% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting, according to our model.
Sunderland vs. Newcastle odds
We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Sunderland | Newcastle | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +240 | +130 | +225 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| +100 | -122 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sunderland vs. Newcastle picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Newcastle | +130 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | +100 |
According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Newcastle to win.
Sunderland vs. Newcastle: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Sunderland 1-1 NEW | 12.1% |
| Sunderland 0-1 NEW | 10.6% |
| Sunderland 1-2 NEW | 9.2% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 53.3% chance that both teams scoring, and a 46.7% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Sunderland vs. Newcastle game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's Premier League matchup between Sunderland and Newcastle at Stadium of Light is scheduled to begin in the United States at 9:00AM ET.
- Who: Sunderland vs. Newcastle
- Date: Sunday, December 14, 2025
- Time: 9:00AM ET/6:00AM PT
- Venue: Stadium of Light
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Sunderland has a 28.7% win probability on Sunday, Newcastle has a 45.8% win probability, and there is a 25.5% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sunderland vs. Newcastle insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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