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Sunderland vs. Manchester City prediction, odds, Premier League picks [1/1/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Sunderland vs Manchester City predictions for Premier League Thursday.
Sunderland and Manchester City will meet in the Premier League at Stadium of Light on New Year's Day, starting at 3:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced Premier League model predicts Manchester City as the most likely winner of the Sunderland vs. Manchester City game.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Sunderland vs. Manchester City prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's Premier League match between Sunderland and Manchester City 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model indicates a 13.0% chance of Sunderland winning, a 67.4% chance for Manchester City, and a 19.7% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 54% chance of going over, according to our model.
Sunderland vs. Manchester City odds
We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Sunderland | Manchester City | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +600 | -235 | +380 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -160 | +130 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sunderland vs. Manchester City picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Sunderland | +600 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +130 |
According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.
Sunderland vs. Manchester City: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-0 Manchester City win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Sunderland 0-2 MCI | 12.5% |
| Sunderland 0-1 MCI | 12.1% |
| Sunderland 1-2 MCI | 9.7% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 47.1% chance of the yes hitting, and a 52.9% probability of at least one team being held goalless.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations.
Sunderland vs. Manchester City game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's Premier League matchup between Sunderland and Manchester City at Stadium of Light is scheduled to start in the USA at 3:00 PM ET.
- Who: Sunderland vs. Manchester City
- Date: Thursday, January 1, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
- Venue: Stadium of Light
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Sunderland has a 13.0% win probability on New Year's Day, Manchester City has a 67.4% win probability, and there is a 19.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sunderland vs. Manchester City insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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