Steelers vs. Browns Week 3 Prediction and Odds - Sep 22, 2022

The Cleveland Browns and Pittsburgh Steelers are scheduled to meet in Week 3 of the NFL season at FirstEnergy Stadium on Thursday, with kickoff at 8:15PM ET.

Dimers' free betting picks for Steelers vs. Browns, plus our score prediction, betting odds and touchdown scorer probabilities, are featured in this article.

Today's Pittsburgh vs. Cleveland betting preview is sponsored by FanDuel Sportsbook, which has a tasty No Sweat First Bet promo up to $1,000 for new customers.


Who will win Steelers vs. Browns?

Based on cutting-edge computer power and data, has simulated Thursday's Steelers-Browns NFL matchup 10,000 times.

Dimers' famous predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Browns a 71% chance of beating the Steelers in Week 3 of the NFL season.

More: Steelers vs. Browns Simulated 10K Times

Steelers vs. Browns Odds

  • Spread: Browns -4.5 (-105), Steelers +4.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Browns -200, Steelers +180
  • Total: Over/Under 37.5 (-110/-104)

Point Spread, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Browns are listed as -4.5 favorites against the Steelers, with -105 at PointsBet the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Steelers (+4.5) to cover the spread, Caesars Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at -110.

DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Browns at -200, which means you can risk $200 to win $100, for a total payout of $300, if they get the W.

Meanwhile, BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Steelers at +180, where you can put down $100 to profit $180, earning a total payout of $280, if they win.

The Over/Under for total points scored sits at 37.5 with BetMGM, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -110, while FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at -104.

As always, check out the sportsbooks you can bet with in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Browns (-4.5) are a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the Over/Under total of 37.5 points is a 53% chance of going Over.

More: Free Prop Picks

Best Bets for Steelers vs. Browns


Any time you see a 🔥, that means it's one of our best bets of the day across all sports.

Our best bets are based on world-class modeling and wagering expertise to serve you the best possible plays 24/7.

Steelers vs. Browns Prediction's predicted final score for Pittsburgh vs. Cleveland at FirstEnergy Stadium in Week 3 has the Browns winning 21-16.

Click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.


Dimers has full coverage of this week's Steelers-Browns matchup in Week 3, including pregame predictions, free picks, and live win probabilities.

Steelers vs. Browns Player Props

Who will score an anytime touchdown in Steelers vs. Browns? The data is in.

Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Steelers and Browns, as well as player stat projections.

And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop picks for Thursday's game.

According to DimersBOT, Cleveland's Nick Chubb is most likely to score the first TD in Steelers vs. Browns.

DimersBOT gives Chubb a 16.5% chance of scoring the first TD at FirstEnergy Stadium, while the Browns RB is a 56.3% chance of reaching the end zone at any point during the game.

Scroll down for our full list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities.


First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Pittsburgh Steelers

  • Najee Harris: 11.1% probability
  • Pat Freiermuth: 7.5% probability
  • Chase Claypool: 6.7% probability
  • Diontae Johnson: 6.6% probability
  • George Pickens: 5.0% probability

Cleveland Browns

  • Nick Chubb: 16.5% probability
  • Amari Cooper: 9.7% probability
  • Kareem Hunt: 8.5% probability
  • David Njoku: 5.6% probability
  • Donovan Peoples-Jones: 4.8% probability

Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities

Pittsburgh Steelers

  • Najee Harris: 40.4% probability
  • Pat Freiermuth: 29.3% probability
  • Diontae Johnson: 26.3% probability
  • Chase Claypool: 25.8% probability
  • George Pickens: 20.3% probability

Cleveland Browns

  • Nick Chubb: 56.3% probability
  • Amari Cooper: 34.8% probability
  • Kareem Hunt: 32.9% probability
  • David Njoku: 23.0% probability
  • Donovan Peoples-Jones: 18.9% probability

Steelers-Browns Projected Player Stats

Of the starting quarterbacks, the Steelers' Mitch Trubisky is projected for 227 passing yards, while the Browns' Jacoby Brissett is expected to throw for just 183 yards.

Steelers Starting QB

  • Mitch Trubisky: 227 projected yards

Browns Starting QB

  • Jacoby Brissett: 183 projected yards

Steelers Rushing

  • Najee Harris: 62 projected yards
  • Jaylen Warren: 17 projected yards
  • Mitch Trubisky: 11 projected yards

Browns Rushing

  • Nick Chubb: 89 projected yards
  • Kareem Hunt: 45 projected yards
  • Jacoby Brissett: 10 projected yards

Steelers Receiving

  • Diontae Johnson: 63 projected yards
  • Chase Claypool: 48 projected yards
  • Pat Freiermuth: 40 projected yards
  • George Pickens: 27 projected yards
  • Najee Harris: 22 projected yards

Browns Receiving

  • Amari Cooper: 59 projected yards
  • Donovan Peoples-Jones: 40 projected yards
  • David Njoku: 29 projected yards
  • Kareem Hunt: 23 projected yards
  • Harrison Bryant: 21 projected yards

Remember, DimersBOT updates regularly, so check this article for the latest betting insights before Steelers vs. Browns on Thursday September 22, 2022.


Steelers vs. Browns 2022

The NFL Week 3 action between the Browns and Steelers at FirstEnergy Stadium is scheduled to start at 8:15PM ET.

  • Who: Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns
  • Date: Thursday September 22, 2022
  • Time: 8:15PM ET / 5:15PM PT
  • Venue: FirstEnergy Stadium

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