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Blues vs. Blackhawks prediction: Why St. Louis is favored to win Saturday's NHL matchup [4/11/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get St. Louis Blues vs Chicago Blackhawks predictions for NHL Saturday.
NHL action continues on Saturday at 5:00 PM ET as the St. Louis Blues take on the Chicago Blackhawks at United Center.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model projects the Blues as the most likely winner of the Blues vs. Blackhawks game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Blues vs. Hawks prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NHL matchup between the Blues and Blackhawks, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Blues a 57% chance of beating the Blackhawks.
According to our model, the Blackhawks (+1.5) have a 65% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 5.5 goals has a 53% chance of going over.
Blues vs. Blackhawks odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Blues | Blackhawks |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+170) | +1.5 (-200) |
| Moneyline | -148 | +128 |
| Total | o5.5 (-135) | u5.5 (+114) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Blues vs. Blackhawks picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Blackhawks +1.5 | -200 |
| Moneyline | Blackhawks | +128 |
| Total | Under 5.5 | +114 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 5.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Blues vs. Blackhawks player props
Who will score a goal in Blues vs. Blackhawks?
According to our model, Dylan Holloway is most likely to score an anytime goal in Blues vs. Blackhawks.
Our projections give Holloway a 39.9% chance of scoring a goal at United Center, while the star is an 8.4% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
St. Louis Blues
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Dylan Holloway | 39.9% |
| Robert Thomas | 32.4% |
| Jordan Kyrou | 28.4% |
| Jimmy Snuggerud | 26.7% |
| Jake Neighbours | 22.2% |
Chicago Blackhawks
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Connor Bedard | 29.7% |
| Frank Nazar | 27.5% |
| Tyler Bertuzzi | 24.9% |
| Ilya Mikheyev | 24.2% |
| Anton Frondell | 23.4% |
First goal scorer predictions
St. Louis Blues
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Dylan Holloway | 8.4% |
| Robert Thomas | 6.9% |
| Jordan Kyrou | 5.7% |
| Jimmy Snuggerud | 5.2% |
| Pavel Buchnevich | 4.2% |
Chicago Blackhawks
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Frank Nazar | 5.6% |
| Tyler Bertuzzi | 5.2% |
| Connor Bedard | 5.0% |
| Ilya Mikheyev | 4.8% |
| Anton Frondell | 4.4% |
Blues vs. Hawks game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's game between the Blackhawks and Blues at United Center is scheduled to start at 5:00 PM ET.
- Who: St. Louis Blues vs. Chicago Blackhawks
- Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
- Time: 5:00 PM ET/2:00PM PT
- Venue: United Center
Conclusion
We predict the Blues, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the Blackhawks in Saturday's NHL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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