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Kraken vs. Avalanche prediction: Why Colorado is favored to win Thursday's NHL matchup [4/16/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Seattle Kraken vs Colorado Avalanche predictions for NHL Thursday.
The Colorado Avalanche and Seattle Kraken will lock horns in the NHL at Ball Arena on Thursday, starting at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model projects the Avalanche as the most likely winner of the Kraken vs. Avalanche game.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Kraken vs. Avs prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NHL game between the Kraken and Avalanche, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Avalanche a 65% chance of beating the Kraken.
According to our model, the Kraken (+1.5) have a 57% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of six goals has a 51% chance of going over.
Kraken vs. Avalanche odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Kraken | Avalanche |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-145) | -1.5 (+130) |
| Moneyline | +165 | -192 |
| Total | o6 (-120) | u6 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Kraken vs. Avalanche picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Avalanche -1.5 | +130 |
| Moneyline | Avalanche | -192 |
| Total | Under 6 | +100 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Avalanche -1.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Kraken vs. Avalanche player props
Who will score a goal in Kraken vs. Avalanche?
According to our model, Valeri Nichushkin is most likely to score an anytime goal in Kraken vs. Avalanche.
Our projections give Nichushkin a 44.0% chance of scoring a goal at Ball Arena, while the star is a 9.9% chance of registering the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Seattle Kraken
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Bobby McMann | 27.3% |
| Matty Beniers | 21.7% |
| Jordan Eberle | 20.7% |
| Kaapo Kakko | 20.2% |
| Shane Wright | 18.8% |
Colorado Avalanche
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Valeri Nichushkin | 44.0% |
| Gabriel Landeskog | 42.9% |
| Brock Nelson | 40.0% |
| Ross Colton | 27.2% |
| Nicolas Roy | 22.7% |
First goal scorer predictions
Seattle Kraken
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Bobby McMann | 5.0% |
| Jordan Eberle | 4.2% |
| Matty Beniers | 4.0% |
| Kaapo Kakko | 3.3% |
| Shane Wright | 3.0% |
Colorado Avalanche
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Valeri Nichushkin | 9.9% |
| Gabriel Landeskog | 9.3% |
| Brock Nelson | 8.8% |
| Ross Colton | 5.1% |
| Nicolas Roy | 4.4% |
Kraken vs. Avs game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's game between the Avalanche and Kraken at Ball Arena is scheduled to commence at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Seattle Kraken vs. Colorado Avalanche
- Date: Thursday, April 16, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Ball Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Avalanche, with a 65% win probability, will likely beat the Kraken in Thursday's NHL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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