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Sharks vs. Canadiens prediction: Why Montreal is favored to win Saturday's NHL matchup [3/14/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get San Jose Sharks vs Montreal Canadiens predictions for NHL Saturday.
The Montreal Canadiens and San Jose Sharks will lock horns in the NHL at Bell Centre on Saturday, with puck drop at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model predicts the Canadiens as the most likely winner of the Sharks vs. Canadiens game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Sharks vs. Habs prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NHL game between the Sharks and Canadiens 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Canadiens a 60% chance of defeating the Sharks.
According to our model, the Sharks (+1.5) have a 61% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 52% chance of going over.
Sharks vs. Canadiens odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sharks | Canadiens |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-170) | -1.5 (+152) |
| Moneyline | +132 | -155 |
| Total | o6.5 (-132) | u6.5 (+114) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sharks vs. Canadiens picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Canadiens -1.5 | +152 |
| Moneyline | Canadiens | -155 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | +114 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Sharks vs. Canadiens player props
Who will score a goal in Sharks vs. Canadiens?
According to our model, Macklin Celebrini is most likely to score an anytime goal in Sharks vs. Canadiens.
Our projections give Celebrini a 39.8% chance of scoring a goal at Bell Centre, while the star is a 7.4% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
San Jose Sharks
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Macklin Celebrini | 39.8% |
| Will Smith | 31.8% |
| Tyler Toffoli | 25.7% |
| Kiefer Sherwood | 25.0% |
| Adam Gaudette | 21.8% |
Montreal Canadiens
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Cole Caufield | 39.4% |
| Nick Suzuki | 31.8% |
| Alexandre Texier | 28.8% |
| Ivan Demidov | 28.2% |
| Juraj Slafkovsky | 26.4% |
First goal scorer predictions
San Jose Sharks
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Macklin Celebrini | 7.4% |
| Will Smith | 5.8% |
| Tyler Toffoli | 4.6% |
| Kiefer Sherwood | 4.1% |
| Adam Gaudette | 3.8% |
Montreal Canadiens
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Cole Caufield | 7.5% |
| Nick Suzuki | 5.5% |
| Ivan Demidov | 5.2% |
| Alexandre Texier | 5.1% |
| Juraj Slafkovsky | 4.6% |
Sharks vs. Habs game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's game between the Canadiens and Sharks at Bell Centre is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: San Jose Sharks vs. Montreal Canadiens
- Date: Saturday, March 14, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Bell Centre
Conclusion
We predict the Canadiens, with a 60% win probability, will likely beat the Sharks on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Sharks vs. Canadiens insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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