Roberto Bautista Agut vs. Thiago Agustin Tirante prediction, odds, picks for ATP Madrid Open 2026

Roberto Bautista Agut and Thiago Agustin Tirante are scheduled to meet in the round of 128 of the ATP Madrid Open event on Wednesday.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Thiago Tirante as the most likely winner of the Bautista Agut vs. Tirante match.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.

Bautista Agut vs. Tirante prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's Bautista Agut-Tirante men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently gives Tirante a 58% chance of defeating Bautista Agut at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.

Additionally, Tirante has a 55% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Bautista Agut (+2.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 22.5 games has a 53% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Roberto Bautista Agut vs. Thiago Agustin Tirante odds

We have researched the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Bautista Agut vs. Tirante picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 22.5 total games.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Bautista Agut vs. Tirante updates and essential details

The ATP Madrid Open match between Roberto Bautista Agut and Thiago Agustin Tirante is scheduled to begin on Wednesday at 9:00 AM ET.

• Who: Roberto Bautista Agut vs. Thiago Agustin Tirante
• Date: Wednesday, April 22, 2026
• Approx. Time: 9:00 AM ET/6:00AM PT
• Tournament: ATP Madrid, Spain Men's Singles 2026
• Round: Round of 128

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.

Conclusion

We predict Thiago Tirante, with a 58% win probability, will likely beat Roberto Bautista Agut at the ATP Madrid Open tournament.

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