Roberto Bautista Agut vs. Brandon Nakashima prediction, odds, picks for French Open 2026

Roberto Bautista Agut and Brandon Nakashima will meet in the first round of the French Open 2026 on Monday.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven tennis model predicts Brandon Nakashima as the most likely winner of the Bautista Agut vs. Nakashima match.

This article offers a closer look at Monday's match, including best bets and picks.

Bautista Agut vs. Nakashima prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's Bautista Agut-Nakashima men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives Nakashima a 73% chance of defeating Bautista Agut in the French Open 2026.

Additionally, Nakashima has a 66% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Bautista Agut (+5.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 37.5 games has a 52% chance of hitting, according to our model.

Roberto Bautista Agut vs. Brandon Nakashima odds

We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Bautista Agut	Nakashima
Moneyline	+280	-325
First Set	+175	-227
Game Spread	+5.5 (-120)	-5.5 (-110)
Total Games	o37.5 (-105)	u37.5 (-120)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Bautista Agut vs. Nakashima picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Moneyline	Bautista Agut	+280
First Set	Nakashima	-120

According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Roberto Bautista Agut to win.

Although Bautista Agut is less than likely to win, he provides the best value at the current available odds.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Bautista Agut vs. Nakashima updates and essential details

The French Open 2026 match between Roberto Bautista Agut and Brandon Nakashima is scheduled to start on Monday at 6:55 AM ET.

• Who: Roberto Bautista Agut vs. Brandon Nakashima
• Date: Monday, May 25, 2026
• Approx. Time: 6:55 AM ET/3:55AM PT
• Tournament: French Open Men's Singles 2026
• Round: First round

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

Conclusion

We predict Brandon Nakashima, with a 73% win probability, will likely beat Roberto Bautista Agut at the French Open 2026.

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