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Penguins vs. Hurricanes prediction: Why Carolina is favored to win Wednesday's NHL matchup [3/18/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Pittsburgh Penguins vs Carolina Hurricanes predictions for NHL Wednesday.
The Carolina Hurricanes will take on the Pittsburgh Penguins in NHL action at Lenovo Center on Wednesday, beginning at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Hurricanes as the most likely winner of the Penguins vs. Hurricanes game.
This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Penguins vs. Canes prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's NHL game between the Penguins and Hurricanes 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Hurricanes a 57% chance of beating the Penguins.
According to our model, the 6.5-goal over/under has a 53% chance of staying under.
Penguins vs. Hurricanes odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Penguins | Hurricanes |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +115 | -134 |
| Total | o6.5 (-108) | u6.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Penguins vs. Hurricanes picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Hurricanes | -134 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | -108 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Penguins vs. Hurricanes player props
Who will score a goal in Penguins vs. Hurricanes?
According to our model, Seth Jarvis is most likely to score an anytime goal in Penguins vs. Hurricanes.
Our projections give Jarvis a 33.3% chance of scoring a goal at Lenovo Center, while the star is a 5.8% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Bryan Rust | 30.5% |
| Yegor Chinakhov | 27.4% |
| Sidney Crosby | 26.1% |
| Rickard Rakell | 26.0% |
| Anthony Mantha | 24.9% |
Carolina Hurricanes
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Seth Jarvis | 33.3% |
| Andrei Svechnikov | 31.2% |
| Sebastian Aho | 31.0% |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | 29.8% |
| Logan Stankoven | 23.3% |
First goal scorer predictions
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Bryan Rust | 6.1% |
| Anthony Mantha | 4.9% |
| Rickard Rakell | 4.8% |
| Yegor Chinakhov | 4.7% |
| Sidney Crosby | 4.6% |
Carolina Hurricanes
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Seth Jarvis | 5.8% |
| Sebastian Aho | 5.8% |
| Andrei Svechnikov | 5.7% |
| Nikolaj Ehlers | 5.5% |
| Logan Stankoven | 4.4% |
Penguins vs. Canes game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's game between the Hurricanes and Penguins at Lenovo Center is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Pittsburgh Penguins vs. Carolina Hurricanes
- Date: Wednesday, March 18, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Lenovo Center
Conclusion
We predict the Hurricanes, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the Penguins on Wednesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Penguins vs. Hurricanes insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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