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Flyers vs. Jets prediction: Why Winnipeg is favored to win Saturday's NHL matchup [4/11/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Philadelphia Flyers vs Winnipeg Jets predictions for NHL Saturday.
The Winnipeg Jets and Philadelphia Flyers will lock horns in the NHL at Canada Life Centre on Saturday, with puck drop at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model gives the Jets a slight edge with a 54% win probability over the Flyers.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's Flyers vs. Jets matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Flyers vs. Jets prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NHL matchup between the Flyers and Jets, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Jets a 54% chance of beating the Flyers.
According to our model, the Flyers (+1.5) have a 68% chance of covering the puck line, while the 5.5-goal over/under has a 52% chance of going over.
Flyers vs. Jets odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Flyers | Jets |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-230) | -1.5 (+194) |
| Moneyline | +105 | -125 |
| Total | o5.5 (-115) | u5.5 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Flyers vs. Jets picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Jets -1.5 | +194 |
| Moneyline | Jets | -125 |
| Total | Over 5.5 | -115 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 5.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Flyers vs. Jets player props
Who will score a goal in Flyers vs. Jets?
According to our model, Kyle Connor is most likely to score an anytime goal in Flyers vs. Jets.
Our projections give Connor a 41.3% chance of scoring a goal at Canada Life Centre, while the star is an 8.9% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Philadelphia Flyers
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Owen Tippett | 25.5% |
| Tyson Foerster | 24.8% |
| Travis Konecny | 24.2% |
| Matvei Michkov | 21.0% |
| Trevor Zegras | 18.2% |
Winnipeg Jets
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Kyle Connor | 41.3% |
| Mark Scheifele | 35.4% |
| Gabriel Vilardi | 32.9% |
| Cole Perfetti | 28.3% |
| Jonathan Toews | 20.6% |
First goal scorer predictions
Philadelphia Flyers
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Tyson Foerster | 4.8% |
| Owen Tippett | 4.6% |
| Travis Konecny | 4.4% |
| Matvei Michkov | 4.2% |
| Porter Martone | 3.5% |
Winnipeg Jets
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Kyle Connor | 8.9% |
| Mark Scheifele | 7.5% |
| Gabriel Vilardi | 6.3% |
| Cole Perfetti | 5.8% |
| Jonathan Toews | 3.7% |
Flyers vs. Jets game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's game between the Jets and Flyers at Canada Life Centre is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Philadelphia Flyers vs. Winnipeg Jets
- Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Canada Life Centre
Conclusion
We predict the Jets, with a 54% win probability, will likely beat the Flyers in Saturday's NHL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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