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Flyers vs. Capitals prediction: Why Washington is favored to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [3/31/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Philadelphia Flyers vs Washington Capitals predictions for NHL Tuesday.
The Washington Capitals will take on the Philadelphia Flyers in NHL action at Capital One Arena on Tuesday, commencing at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model predicts the Capitals as the most likely winner of the Flyers vs. Capitals game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Flyers vs. Caps prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NHL matchup between the Flyers and Capitals, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Capitals a 55% chance of beating the Flyers.
According to our model, the 5.5-goal over/under has a 53% chance of going over.
Flyers vs. Capitals odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Flyers | Capitals |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +110 | -130 |
| Total | o5.5 (-120) | u5.5 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Flyers vs. Capitals picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Capitals | -130 |
| Total | Over 5.5 | -120 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Capitals to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Flyers vs. Capitals player props
Who will score a goal in Flyers vs. Capitals?
According to our model, Alex Ovechkin is most likely to score an anytime goal in Flyers vs. Capitals.
Our projections give Ovechkin a 34.1% chance of scoring a goal at Capital One Arena, while the star is a 6.9% chance of registering the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Philadelphia Flyers
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Owen Tippett | 31.7% |
| Travis Konecny | 29.5% |
| Matvei Michkov | 26.5% |
| Noah Cates | 21.5% |
| Trevor Zegras | 21.1% |
Washington Capitals
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Alex Ovechkin | 34.1% |
| Dylan Strome | 27.0% |
| Tom Wilson | 26.5% |
| Connor McMichael | 25.9% |
| Pierre-Luc Dubois | 24.2% |
First goal scorer predictions
Philadelphia Flyers
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Owen Tippett | 6.5% |
| Travis Konecny | 5.5% |
| Matvei Michkov | 5.3% |
| Noah Cates | 4.0% |
| Trevor Zegras | 3.8% |
Washington Capitals
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Alex Ovechkin | 6.9% |
| Dylan Strome | 5.3% |
| Tom Wilson | 5.2% |
| Connor McMichael | 5.0% |
| Ryan Leonard | 5.0% |
Flyers vs. Caps game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's matchup between the Capitals and Flyers at Capital One Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Philadelphia Flyers vs. Washington Capitals
- Date: Tuesday, March 31, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Capital One Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Capitals, with a 55% win probability, will likely beat the Flyers on Tuesday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Flyers vs. Capitals insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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