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Flyers vs. Penguins prediction: Why Pittsburgh is favored to win Saturday's NHL matchup [4/18/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Philadelphia Flyers vs Pittsburgh Penguins predictions for NHL Saturday.
The Pittsburgh Penguins will face the Philadelphia Flyers in the 2026 NHL Playoffs at PPG Paints Arena on Saturday, commencing at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model predicts the Penguins as the most likely winner of the Flyers vs. Penguins game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Flyers vs. Penguins prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's NHL Playoffs game between the Flyers and Penguins, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Penguins a 56% chance of beating the Flyers.
According to our model, the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 52% chance of staying under.
Flyers vs. Penguins odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Flyers | Penguins |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +120 | -142 |
| Total | o6.5 (+104) | u6.5 (+105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Flyers vs. Penguins picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Flyers | +120 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | +105 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Flyers vs. Penguins player props
Who will score a goal in Flyers vs. Penguins?
According to our model, Bryan Rust is most likely to score an anytime goal in Flyers vs. Penguins.
Our projections give Rust a 33.2% chance of scoring a goal at PPG Paints Arena, while the star is a 6.4% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Philadelphia Flyers
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Porter Martone | 27.2% |
| Tyson Foerster | 26.7% |
| Owen Tippett | 26.0% |
| Travis Konecny | 25.0% |
| Matvei Michkov | 24.9% |
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Bryan Rust | 33.2% |
| Rickard Rakell | 33.0% |
| Anthony Mantha | 27.6% |
| Egor Chinakhov | 26.2% |
| Sidney Crosby | 25.8% |
First goal scorer predictions
Philadelphia Flyers
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Tyson Foerster | 5.0% |
| Porter Martone | 4.9% |
| Matvei Michkov | 4.4% |
| Trevor Zegras | 4.0% |
| Travis Konecny | 4.0% |
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Bryan Rust | 6.4% |
| Rickard Rakell | 6.2% |
| Anthony Mantha | 5.2% |
| Egor Chinakhov | 5.1% |
| Sidney Crosby | 4.7% |
Flyers vs. Penguins game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's action between the Penguins and Flyers in the Stanley Cup Playoffs is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Philadelphia Flyers vs. Pittsburgh Penguins
- Date: Saturday, April 18, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: PPG Paints Arena
The Stanley Cup Playoffs is the National Hockey League's postseason elimination tournament to decide the winner of the Stanley Cup.
Sixteen teams, including the Flyers and Penguins, made the NHL Playoffs 2026, which includes four rounds: the First Round, Second Round, Conference Finals and Stanley Cup Finals.
Each round of the NHL Playoffs is played as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins moving on to the next round until a champion is crowned.
Conclusion
We predict the Penguins, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Flyers in Saturday's NHL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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