Flyers vs. Penguins prediction: Why Pittsburgh is favored to win Monday's NHL matchup [4/20/2026]

profile-img
Written by Nick Slade

Get Philadelphia Flyers vs Pittsburgh Penguins predictions for NHL Monday.

Philadelphia Flyers-Pittsburgh Penguins Predictions and Game Preview.
Philadelphia Flyers vs. Pittsburgh Penguins NHL prediction for Monday, April 20, 2026.

NHL action continues on Monday at 7:00 PM ET as the Philadelphia Flyers square off with the Pittsburgh Penguins in the 2026 Stanley Cup Playoffs at PPG Paints Arena.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven NHL model predicts the Penguins as the most likely winner of the Flyers vs. Penguins game.

This article offers further insights into Monday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Flyers vs. Penguins prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's NHL Playoffs matchup between the Flyers and Penguins, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model gives the Penguins a 57% chance of beating the Flyers.

According to our model, the Flyers (+1.5) have a 65% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6-goal over/under has a 52% chance of going over.

 

Flyers vs. Penguins odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Flyers Penguins
Puck Line +1.5 (-198) -1.5 (+168)
Moneyline +130 -146
Total o6 (-115) u6 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Flyers vs. Penguins picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Puck Line Flyers +1.5 -198
Moneyline Flyers +130
Total Over 6 -115

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Flyers to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Flyers vs. Penguins player props

Who will score a goal in Flyers vs. Penguins?

According to our model, Rickard Rakell is most likely to score an anytime goal in Flyers vs. Penguins.

Our projections give Rakell a 33.1% chance of scoring a goal at PPG Paints Arena, while the star is a 6.5% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Philadelphia Flyers

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Porter Martone 31.7%
Owen Tippett 25.9%
Matvei Michkov 25.8%
Tyson Foerster 25.7%
Travis Konecny 24.6%

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Rickard Rakell 33.1%
Bryan Rust 32.9%
Anthony Mantha 28.1%
Sidney Crosby 26.0%
Evgeni Malkin 25.3%

First goal scorer predictions

Philadelphia Flyers

Player First Goal Probability
Porter Martone 5.5%
Owen Tippett 4.5%
Matvei Michkov 4.4%
Tyson Foerster 4.2%
Trevor Zegras 4.0%

Pittsburgh Penguins

Player First Goal Probability
Rickard Rakell 6.5%
Bryan Rust 6.1%
Sidney Crosby 5.4%
Anthony Mantha 5.2%
Evgeni Malkin 4.5%

Flyers vs. Penguins game-day updates and essential details

Monday's matchup between the Penguins and Flyers in the NHL Playoffs is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.

The Stanley Cup Playoffs (aka NHL Playoffs) is the National Hockey League's postseason elimination tournament to determine the winner of the Stanley Cup.

A total of 16 teams, including the Flyers and Penguins, made the 2026 NHL Playoffs, which consists of four rounds: the First Round, Second Round, Conference Finals and Stanley Cup Finals.

Each round of the Stanley Cup Playoffs is contested as a best-of-seven series, with the first team to four wins advancing to the next round until a champion is crowned.

Conclusion

We predict the Penguins, with a 57% win probability, will likely beat the Flyers in Monday's NHL matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

profile-img
Written by
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.

Advertiser disclosure

Related Articles

More Articles
Dimers Sports
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes prediction: Why Carolina is favored to win Game 1 of 2026 Stanley Cup Final
Read Article
Dimers Sports
NHL Playoffs player props today: Tuesday's best props include Alexander Nikishin [6/2/2026]
Read Article
Dimers Sports
NHL Playoffs player props today: Friday's best props include Alexandre Texier [5/29/2026]
Read Article