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Flyers vs. Red Wings prediction: Detroit favored to win Thursday's NHL matchup [4/9/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Philadelphia Flyers vs Detroit Red Wings predictions for NHL Thursday.
The Detroit Red Wings will face the Philadelphia Flyers, in what is expected to be a close NHL game, at Little Caesars Arena on Thursday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model gives the Red Wings a slight edge with a 52% win probability over the Flyers.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's Flyers vs. Red Wings matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Flyers vs. Red Wings prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's NHL matchup between the Flyers and Red Wings, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Red Wings a 52% chance of defeating the Flyers.
According to our model, the Flyers (+1.5) have a 69% chance of covering the puck line, while the 5.5-goal over/under has a 54% chance of going over.
Flyers vs. Red Wings odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Flyers | Red Wings |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-250) | -1.5 (+205) |
| Moneyline | -102 | -115 |
| Total | o5.5 (-134) | u5.5 (+114) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Flyers vs. Red Wings picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Flyers +1.5 | -250 |
| Moneyline | Red Wings | -115 |
| Total | Under 5.5 | +114 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 5.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Flyers vs. Red Wings player props
Who will score a goal in Flyers vs. Red Wings?
According to our model, Alex DeBrincat is most likely to score an anytime goal in Flyers vs. Red Wings.
Our projections give DeBrincat a 37.0% chance of scoring a goal at Little Caesars Arena, while the star is a 7.9% chance of registering the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Philadelphia Flyers
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Owen Tippett | 27.9% |
| Tyson Foerster | 26.8% |
| Travis Konecny | 26.8% |
| Matvei Michkov | 23.1% |
| Trevor Zegras | 20.2% |
Detroit Red Wings
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Alex DeBrincat | 37.0% |
| Dylan Larkin | 32.9% |
| Lucas Raymond | 28.6% |
| Patrick Kane | 26.6% |
| David Perron | 16.8% |
First goal scorer predictions
Philadelphia Flyers
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Owen Tippett | 5.8% |
| Travis Konecny | 5.4% |
| Tyson Foerster | 5.3% |
| Matvei Michkov | 4.7% |
| Trevor Zegras | 3.9% |
Detroit Red Wings
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Alex DeBrincat | 7.9% |
| Dylan Larkin | 6.5% |
| Lucas Raymond | 5.5% |
| Patrick Kane | 5.0% |
| David Perron | 3.5% |
Flyers vs. Red Wings game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's game between the Red Wings and Flyers at Little Caesars Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Philadelphia Flyers vs. Detroit Red Wings
- Date: Thursday, April 9, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Little Caesars Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Red Wings, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat the Flyers in Thursday's NHL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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