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Rangers vs. Stars prediction: Dallas favored to win Saturday's NHL matchup [4/11/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get NY Rangers vs Dallas Stars predictions for NHL Saturday.
The Dallas Stars will square off with the NY Rangers in NHL action at American Airlines Center on Saturday, starting at 5:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model predicts the Stars as the most likely winner of the Rangers vs. Stars game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Rangers vs. Stars prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Saturday's NHL game between the Rangers and Stars, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Stars a 61% chance of defeating the Rangers.
According to our model, the Rangers (+1.5) have a 61% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 5.5 goals has a 54% chance of going over.
Rangers vs. Stars odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Rangers | Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-160) | -1.5 (+142) |
| Moneyline | +150 | -178 |
| Total | o5.5 (-130) | u5.5 (+110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Rangers vs. Stars picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Rangers +1.5 | -160 |
| Moneyline | Rangers | +150 |
| Total | Under 5.5 | +110 |
According to our best NHL bets, the top play to make on this game is Rangers +1.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Rangers vs. Stars player props
Who will score a goal in Rangers vs. Stars?
According to our model, Wyatt Johnston is most likely to score an anytime goal in Rangers vs. Stars.
Our projections give Johnston a 42.1% chance of scoring a goal at American Airlines Center, while the star is a 9.5% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
NY Rangers
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Alexis Lafreniere | 26.0% |
| Mika Zibanejad | 23.6% |
| J.T. Miller | 21.8% |
| Vincent Trocheck | 20.1% |
| Adam Sykora | 19.0% |
Dallas Stars
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Wyatt Johnston | 42.1% |
| Jason Robertson | 39.1% |
| Mikko Rantanen | 38.6% |
| Matt Duchene | 25.9% |
| Mavrik Bourque | 22.6% |
First goal scorer predictions
NY Rangers
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Alexis Lafreniere | 5.2% |
| Mika Zibanejad | 4.4% |
| J.T. Miller | 3.9% |
| Will Cuylle | 3.6% |
| Vincent Trocheck | 3.5% |
Dallas Stars
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Wyatt Johnston | 9.5% |
| Mikko Rantanen | 8.6% |
| Jason Robertson | 8.4% |
| Matt Duchene | 5.0% |
| Mavrik Bourque | 4.1% |
Rangers vs. Stars game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's game between the Stars and Rangers at American Airlines Center is scheduled to begin at 5:00 PM ET.
- Who: NY Rangers vs. Dallas Stars
- Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
- Time: 5:00 PM ET/2:00PM PT
- Venue: American Airlines Center
Conclusion
We predict the Stars, with a 61% win probability, will likely beat the Rangers in Saturday's NHL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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