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Read Article Noemi Basiletti vs. Ajla Tomljanovic prediction, odds, picks for WTA Italian Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Basiletti vs Tomljanovic predictions for WTA Italian Open.
Noemi Basiletti will face Ajla Tomljanovic in the round of 128 at the WTA Rome event on Wednesday.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced tennis model projects Ajla Tomljanovic as the most likely winner of the Basiletti vs. Tomljanovic match.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Basiletti vs. Tomljanovic prediction: Who will win and advance to the second round?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's Basiletti-Tomljanovic women's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives Tomljanovic a 73% chance of defeating Basiletti at the WTA Italian Open tournament.
Additionally, Tomljanovic has a 68% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Basiletti (+4.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the over 20.5 games has a 51% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Noemi Basiletti vs. Ajla Tomljanovic odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Basiletti | Tomljanovic |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +250 | -278 |
| First Set | +250 | -333 |
| Game Spread | +4.5 (-110) | -4.5 (-122) |
| Total Games | o20.5 (-105) | u20.5 (-125) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Basiletti vs. Tomljanovic picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Basiletti | +250 |
| First Set | Tomljanovic | -105 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is over 20.5 total games.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Basiletti vs. Tomljanovic updates and essential details
The WTA Italian Open match between Noemi Basiletti and Ajla Tomljanovic is scheduled to begin on Wednesday at 3:00 PM ET.
- Who: Noemi Basiletti vs. Ajla Tomljanovic
- Date: Wednesday, May 6, 2026
- Approx. Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
- Tournament: WTA Rome, Italy Women's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 128
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Ajla Tomljanovic, with a 73% win probability, will likely beat Noemi Basiletti at the WTA Italian Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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