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Nikoloz Basilashvili vs. Ben Shelton prediction, odds, picks for ATP Italian Open 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Basilashvili vs Shelton predictions for ATP Italian Open.
Nikoloz Basilashvili will take on Ben Shelton in the round of 64 at the ATP Rome event on Saturday.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced tennis model predicts Ben Shelton as the most likely winner of the Basilashvili vs. Shelton match.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Basilashvili vs. Shelton prediction: Who will win and advance to the round of 32?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Basilashvili-Shelton men's singles match, forming part of our tennis predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives Shelton a 76% chance of winning against Basilashvili at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Additionally, Shelton has a 70% chance of winning the first set. The simulations also show Shelton (-3.5) has a 53% chance of covering the games spread, while the under 22.5 games has a 57% chance of hitting, according to our model.
Nikoloz Basilashvili vs. Ben Shelton odds
We have sourced the most up-to-date betting odds in America for this match, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Basilashvili | Shelton |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +310 | -400 |
| First Set | +220 | -278 |
| Game Spread | +3.5 (-104) | -3.5 (-132) |
| Total Games | o22.5 (-110) | u22.5 (-115) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Basilashvili vs. Shelton picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Basilashvili | +310 |
| First Set | Shelton | -115 |
According to our tennis best bets, the top play to make on this match is Nikoloz Basilashvili to win the first set.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Basilashvili vs. Shelton updates and essential details
The ATP Italian Open match between Nikoloz Basilashvili and Ben Shelton is scheduled to start on Saturday at 11:10 AM ET.
- Who: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs. Ben Shelton
- Date: Saturday, May 9, 2026
- Approx. Time: 11:10 AM ET/8:10AM PT
- Tournament: ATP Rome, Italy Men's Singles 2026
- Round: Round of 64
All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
Conclusion
We predict Ben Shelton, with a 76% win probability, will likely beat Nikoloz Basilashvili at the ATP Italian Open tournament.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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