NHL player props today: Good Friday best props include Leo Carlsson [4/3/2026]
Get NHL player props today with projections for Friday's games.

Dimers' NHL props are live for Good Friday, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Leo Carlsson, Robert Thomas and Matvei Michkov.
Our NHL player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Blues vs. Ducks and Flyers vs. Islanders, to surface the best NHL player prop bets across the market.
List of NHL prop picks for Friday, 4/3
Sourced from 35+ total props today, below are the top ten NHL player props for April 3, ranked by probability.
Leo Carlsson under 2.5 shots on goal (-118)
- Edge: 5.0%
- Probability: 59.2%
- Game: Blues vs. Ducks (10:00PM ET)
Our model has flagged value on Anaheim's Leo Carlsson going under 2.5 shots on goal. A probability of 59.2% gives this play an edge of 5.0% at -118 odds.
Robert Thomas over 1.5 shots on goal (-120)
- Edge: 3.1%
- Probability: 57.7%
- Game: Blues vs. Ducks (10:00PM ET)
Robert Thomas’s shots on goal prop shows a 57.7% probability and an 3.1% edge at -120 odds, according to our model.
Matvei Michkov to score a point (+135)
- Edge: 4.5%
- Probability: 47.0%
- Game: Flyers vs. Islanders (7:00PM ET)
The data highlights value on Matvei Michkov to score a point, with simulations showing a 47.0% probability and a 4.5% edge at +135.
Ryan Poehling to score a point (+165)
- Edge: 5.1%
- Probability: 42.9%
- Game: Blues vs. Ducks (10:00PM ET)
Our model finds value on Ryan Poehling to score a point, with a 42.9% probability and an edge of 5.1% at +165 odds.
Mason McTavish to score a point (+175)
- Edge: 2.2%
- Probability: 38.5%
- Game: Blues vs. Ducks (10:00PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Mason McTavish to score a point for Anaheim, showing an edge of 2.2% at +175 odds.
Bo Horvat anytime goal scorer (+200)
- Edge: 3.4%
- Probability: 36.8%
- Game: Flyers vs. Islanders (7:00PM ET)
Bo Horvat’s anytime goal scorer prop shows an edge of 3.4% at +200 odds, supported by a 36.8% probability according to our model.
Dylan Holloway anytime goal scorer (+235)
- Edge: 5.8%
- Probability: 35.7%
- Game: Blues vs. Ducks (10:00PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Dylan Holloway anytime goal scorer for St. Louis, with a 35.7% probability and a 5.8% edge at +235 odds.
Calum Ritchie to record an assist (+230)
- Edge: 2.8%
- Probability: 33.1%
- Game: Flyers vs. Islanders (7:00PM ET)
The data shows value on Calum Ritchie to record an assist, supported by a 33.1% probability at +230 odds and an edge of 2.8%.
Cam Fowler to record an assist (+250)
- Edge: 4.3%
- Probability: 32.8%
- Game: Blues vs. Ducks (10:00PM ET)
A 4.3% edge on the assist line makes Cam Fowler a value play in Blues vs. Ducks, supported by a 32.8% probability at +250 odds.
Chris Kreider anytime goal scorer (+245)
- Edge: 2.7%
- Probability: 31.7%
- Game: Blues vs. Ducks (10:00PM ET)
Simulations show value on Chris Kreider anytime goal scorer here, with a 31.7% probability and 2.7% edge at +245 odds.
NHL player prop summary: Friday, April 3, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 6:52PM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blues vs. Ducks | Leo Carlsson under 2.5 shots on goal | -118 @ BetMGM | 5.0% | 59.2% |
| Blues vs. Ducks | Robert Thomas over 1.5 shots on goal | -120 @ BetMGM | 3.1% | 57.7% |
| Flyers vs. Islanders | Matvei Michkov to score a point | +135 @ DraftKings | 5.1% | 42.9% |
| Blues vs. Ducks | Ryan Poehling to score a point | +165 @ DraftKings | 5.1% | 42.9% |
| Blues vs. Ducks | Mason McTavish to score a point | +175 @ DraftKings | 2.2% | 38.5% |
| Flyers vs. Islanders | Bo Horvat anytime goal scorer | +200 @ FanDuel | 3.4% | 36.8% |
| Blues vs. Ducks | Dylan Holloway anytime goal scorer | +235 @ DraftKings | 5.8% | 35.7% |
| Flyers vs. Islanders | Calum Ritchie to record an assist | +230 @ DraftKings | 2.8% | 33.1% |
| Blues vs. Ducks | Cam Fowler to record an assist | +250 @ DraftKings | 4.3% | 32.8% |
| Blues vs. Ducks | Chris Kreider anytime goal scorer | +245 @ DraftKings | 2.7% | 31.7% |
Conclusion
For April 3, 2026, our NHL prop bets feature players such as Leo Carlsson, Robert Thomas and Matvei Michkov. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.


