May 15, 2026
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Read Article Newcastle vs. West Ham prediction, odds, Premier League picks [5/17/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Newcastle vs West Ham predictions for Premier League Sunday.
Newcastle and West Ham are scheduled to meet in the Premier League on Sunday, starting at 12:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced Premier League model predicts Newcastle as the most likely winner of the Newcastle vs. West Ham game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.
Newcastle vs. West Ham prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Premier League match between Newcastle and West Ham, forming part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model suggests a 47.4% chance of Newcastle winning, a 29.8% chance for West Ham, and a 22.8% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 63% chance of going over, according to our model.
Newcastle vs. West Ham odds
We have researched the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Newcastle | West Ham | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +120 | +205 | +290 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -188 | +150 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Newcastle vs. West Ham picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Newcastle | +120 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -188 |
According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Newcastle to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Newcastle vs. West Ham: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| NEW 1-1 WHU | 10.1% |
| NEW 2-1 WHU | 9.3% |
| NEW 1-0 WHU | 7.2% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 63.3% chance of both sides finding the net and a 36.7% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Newcastle vs. West Ham game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's Premier League action between Newcastle and West Ham is scheduled to begin in the USA at 12:30 PM ET.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Newcastle has a 47.4% win probability on Sunday, West Ham has a 29.8% win probability, and there is a 22.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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