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Newcastle vs. Chelsea prediction, odds, Premier League picks [12/20/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Newcastle vs Chelsea predictions for Premier League Saturday.
Newcastle will take on Chelsea in Premier League action on Saturday, beginning at 7:30 AM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven Premier League model projects Chelsea as the most likely winner of the Newcastle vs. Chelsea game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Newcastle vs. Chelsea prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Premier League match between Newcastle and Chelsea 10,000 times as part of our Premier League predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model suggests a 35.2% chance of Newcastle winning, a 40.7% chance for Chelsea, and a 24.1% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 58% chance of going over, according to our model.
Newcastle vs. Chelsea odds
We have sourced the best Premier League odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Newcastle | Chelsea | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +180 | +150 | +250 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -148 | +120 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Newcastle vs. Chelsea picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Chelsea | +150 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -148 |
According to our Premier League best bets, the top play to make on this game is Chelsea to win.
Newcastle vs. Chelsea: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scoresaccording to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| NEW 1-1 CHE | 11.1% |
| NEW 1-2 CHE | 8.7% |
| NEW 2-1 CHE | 8% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 60.8% chance that both teams scoring, and a 39.2% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Newcastle vs. Chelsea game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's Premier League matchup between Newcastle and Chelsea is scheduled to begin in the United States at 7:30 AM ET.
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Newcastle has a 35.2% win probability on Saturday, Chelsea has a 40.7% win probability, and there is a 24.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Newcastle vs. Chelsea insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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