NBA First Basket Predictions Today - Monday 12/18/2023

Another big day of NBA basketball is on the menu, and we've simulated every game 10,000 times to find the best NBA first basket picks and odds for Monday, December 18, 2023.

Monday's NBA games are expected to feature star players such as Luka Doncic, Desmond Bane and De'Aaron Fox, each with a high chance of opening the scoring when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props are one of the most popular options for NBA bettors to wager on, and by using Monday's data-driven NBA predictions below, you can gain an edge over other bettors.

All of the top sportsbooks throughout the nation offer odds on NBA first basket scorers, but pinpointing where the best value lies can be challenging. That's where Dimers.com's trusted approach comes into play.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who are most likely to score the first basket on December 18.

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Monday 12/18/2023

Having simulated the result of today's NBA matchups thousands of times each, our trusted predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has discovered the best NBA first basket bets for you to make on Monday.

1. Desmond Bane To Score First Basket (+850)

• Odds: +850
• Edge: 5.4%
• Probability: 15.9%
• Matchup: Grizzlies vs. Thunder (8:00PM EST)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today's NBA slate, which is in the game between the Grizzlies and Thunder. The bet is on Desmond Bane (MEM) at odds of +850 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 5.4%.

The next two recommended bets are for Luka Doncic (2.3% edge) to score first in the Mavericks vs. Nuggets game and De'Aaron Fox (0.3%) to score the first basket in the Wizards vs. Kings matchup.

2. Luka Doncic To Score First Basket (+440)

• Odds: +440
• Edge: 2.3%
• Probability: 20.8%
• Game: Mavericks vs. Nuggets (9:00PM EST)

The next best NBA first basket bet for Monday comes in the Mavericks vs. Nuggets game, where our model has found an edge of 2.3% on Luka Doncic (DAL) at odds of +440 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

3. De'Aaron Fox To Score First Basket (+550)

• Odds: +550
• Edge: 0.3%
• Probability: 15.7%
• Game: Wizards vs. Kings (10:00PM EST)

Our next NBA first basket bet today comes in the Wizards vs. Kings game, where our model has found an edge of 0.3% on De'Aaron Fox (SAC) at odds of +550 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

Tonight's NBA First Basket Predictions: Monday, December 18, 2023

As well as providing you with the best NBA first basket bets today, we have also determined the most likely players to score the first basket across all of Monday's games.

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket in any of today's games is Luka Doncic, with a probability of 20.8%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Desmond Bane, with a 15.9% probability, and De'Aaron Fox, with a 15.7% probability.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: December 18, 2023

Thanks to simulating each one of Monday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Luka Doncic (Mavericks)	20.8%
Desmond Bane (Grizzlies)	15.9%
De'Aaron Fox (Kings)	15.7%
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)	14.8%
Anthony Davis (Lakers)	14.2%
Julius Randle (Knicks)	14.2%
LeBron James (Lakers)	13.7%
Kyle Kuzma (Wizards)	13.5%
Cam Thomas (Nets)	13.3%

Keep in mind that this list only shows the players most likely to score the first basket on Monday, which does not necessarily indicate that DimersBOT recommends betting on them.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to keep an eye on favorable odds.

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Tonight's NBA First Basket Picks: December 18, 2023

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for December 18, 2023, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks for Monday, December 18, are the result of thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you plan to use today's NBA first basket picks for sports betting, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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