NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today [Friday, 5/10/2024]

NBA First Basket Predictions, Odds and Value Bets Today [Friday, 5/10/2024]

We have another big day of NBA Playoffs upon us, and we've run thousands of simulations to find the best NBA first basket predictions and odds for Friday, May 10, 2024.

Friday's NBA Playoffs action is set to feature big names such as Anthony Edwards, Pascal Siakam and Nikola Jokic, each with a high chance of scoring first when they take to the court.

NBA first basket props have become one of the most popular options for sports bettors to wager on, and by using Friday's data-driven NBA predictions below, you can gain an edge over everyone else.

This article will provide you with a list of players that our analytics model has identified as NBA first basket value bets for today's action, as well as the players who have the highest likelihood of scoring the first basket on May 10.

For today's full list of NBA prop picks, sign up to Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight: May 10, 2024

Thanks to simulating every one of Friday's NBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the 10 players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)First Basket Probability
Anthony Edwards (Timberwolves)15.1%
Pascal Siakam (Pacers)14.1%
Nikola Jokic (Nuggets)14.0%
Myles Turner (Pacers)12.2%
Karl-Anthony Towns (Timberwolves)11.8%
Tyrese Haliburton (Pacers)9.6%
Donte DiVincenzo (Knicks)9.6%
Isaiah Hartenstein (Knicks)9.2%
Rudy Gobert (Timberwolves)9.0%
Andrew Nembhard (Pacers)8.7%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely NBA player to score the first basket tonight is Anthony Edwards, with a probability of 15.1%.

Additionally, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Pascal Siakam, with a 14.1% probability, and Nikola Jokic, with a 14.0% probability. Remember, although this list shows the players with the highest probability of scoring the first basket on Friday, it does not necessarily indicate they are recommended bets according to our predictive analytics model.

To increase your chances of winning when betting on NBA props, it's important to look out for favorable odds.

Best First Basket Picks Tonight: Friday 5/10/2024

Having simulated the result of today's NBA Playoffs action thousands of times, our leading predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, has discovered the best NBA first basket betting picks for Friday.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee.

1. Anthony Edwards To Score First Basket (+600)

Our model has identified the best NBA first basket bet for today, which is in the game between the Nuggets and Timberwolves. The bet is on Anthony Edwards (MIN) at odds of +600 with FanDuel Sportsbook, and our model has found an edge of 0.8%.

The next two recommended bets are for Tyrese Haliburton (0.1% edge) to score first in the Knicks vs. Pacers game and Donte DiVincenzo (0.1%) to score the first basket, also in the Knicks-Pacers matchup.

2. Tyrese Haliburton To Score First Basket (+950)

The next best NBA first basket bet for Friday comes in the Knicks vs. Pacers game, where our model has found an edge of 0.1% on Tyrese Haliburton (IND) at odds of +950 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Friday's Best NBA Bets

3. Donte DiVincenzo To Score First Basket (+950)

Our next NBA first basket bet on Friday comes in the Knicks vs. Pacers game, where our model has found an edge of 0.1% on Donte DiVincenzo (NYK) at odds of +950 with FanDuel Sportsbook.

MORE: Friday's NBA Prop Picks

Today's NBA Games

For more NBA picks and props, check out our full betting previews for each game on the Friday slate:

Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

Today's NBA First Basket Picks: May 10, 2024

This NBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on NBA first basket picks for May 10, 2024, and automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting. Human editing and quality control is performed to ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

All of Dimers' NBA first basket picks for Friday, May 10, are based on thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate NBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's NBA first basket predictions for your personal gambling, it's crucial that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

More About NBA

This article is part of our NBA player props and NBA best bets series.

For more NBA betting content we have NBA trends for every game, as well as daily NBA betting news, the best NBA promos and the latest NBA title odds and predictions.

Damien Souness
Chief Innovation Officer

With over 15 years of experience in sports and betting, Damien Souness is a recognized authority in both fields. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, he actively contributes to the growth of platforms like His expertise in soccer and the NBA is evident from his comprehensive coverage and insightful betting tips, particularly his knack for finding value in bets. 

His prior roles with prestigious organizations and media outlets, including Formula 1, MotoGP,, and, highlight his dedication to delivering accurate and timely content, making him a trusted voice among sports fans and bettors alike.

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