Nationals vs. Mets Prediction and Odds - Oct 3, 2022

Last updated: Dec 21, 2023, 2:30PM | Published: Oct 3, 2022, 5:33AM

The New York Mets square off with the Washington Nationals in MLB action at Citi Field on Monday, starting at 7:10PM ET.

Carlos Carrasco (15-7, 3.95 ERA) will get the ball for the Mets, pitting him against Cory Abbott (0-4, 5.11 ERA) for the Nationals.

Dimers' free betting picks for Nationals vs. Mets, as well as game predictions and best odds, are detailed below.

Who will win Nationals vs. Mets?

Based on cutting-edge machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Monday's Nationals-Mets MLB game 10,000 times.

Dimers' renowned predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, gives the Mets a 70% chance of beating the Nationals.

More: Free Betting Analysis for Nationals vs. Mets

Nationals vs. Mets Odds

Run Line: Mets -1.5 (-125), Nationals +1.5 (+118)
Moneyline: Mets -275, Nationals +250
Total: Over/Under 7.5 (-102/-110)

Run Line, Moneyline and Over/Under

The Mets are currently -1.5 favorites against the Nationals, with -125 at BetMGM the best odds currently available.

For the underdog Nationals (+1.5) to cover the run line, Caesars Sportsbook has the best odds currently on offer at +118.

BetMGM currently has the best moneyline odds for the Mets at -275. That means you can risk $275 to win $100, for a total payout of $375, if they get the W.

Meanwhile, Caesars Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Nationals at +250, where you can bet $100 to profit $250, earning a total payout of $350, if they win.

The Over/Under for total runs scored is set at 7.5 with FanDuel Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -102, while DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best odds for the Under at -110.

As always, check out the sportsbooks you have access to in your state for the best MLB odds and lines.

According to DimersBOT, the Mets (-1.5) are a 53% chance of covering the run line, while the 7.5-run Over/Under is a 58% chance of going Over.

More: Free Prop Picks

Best Bets for Nationals vs. Mets

Run Line: Nationals +1.5 @ +118 via Caesars Sportsbook (1.0% edge)
Moneyline: Nationals @ +250 via Caesars Sportsbook (1.6% edge)
Total: Over 7.5 @ -102 via FanDuel Sportsbook (58% probability) 🔥

Every time you see a 🔥, you know you've found one of our best bets of the day across any sport.

Our best bets are based on complex modeling and gambling expertise to help you make better decisions with the legal sportsbooks in the United States.

Although the Mets are more likely to cover the run line, our best bet of Nationals +1.5 is based on the expectation of that happening, according to DimersBOT, and the best odds available.

And while the Mets are more likely to win the game, according to DimersBOT, taking the Nationals moneyline is the best option due to the 1.6% edge found when comparing our data-led probabilities to the betting odds currently available.

Taking advantage of the edges published on Dimers is crucial to being a profitable bettor in the long run.

Nationals vs. Mets Prediction

Click or tap on See Matchup to reveal more.

Dimers has full coverage of Monday's Nationals-Mets matchup, including pregame predictions, free picks, and live win probabilities.

Remember, DimersBOT updates frequently, so keep an eye on this page for any changes to our betting insights ahead of Nationals vs. Mets on Monday October 3, 2022.

Nationals vs. Mets 2022 Game Info

Monday's game between the Mets and Nationals at Citi Field is scheduled to begin at 7:10PM ET.

Who: Washington Nationals vs. New York Mets
Date: Monday October 3, 2022
Time: 7:10PM ET / 4:10PM PT
Venue: Citi Field

Want to join an online sportsbook and start betting on MLB? We've got access to the best available sign-up offers for each and every legal betting state.

What other MLB games are on today?

Now you've got the 411 on Nationals vs. Mets, get the latest betting analysis for all upcoming MLB games in Dimers' MLB Bet Hub. There you can find probabilities and odds, and our best bets for each and every MLB matchup.

Want a pick for the Run Line? You got it. How about the Over/Under? Yup, got that too. The Moneyline? Yes sir. And these picks are good, I mean REALLY good. Take a look now!

Finally, Dimers' MLB Futures page is our in-house approach to revealing who will win the 2022 World Series, with our data-led probabilities paired with the best odds to win the World Series.

Kevin Hansen

Senior Sports Analyst

Kevin Hansen has a track record of delivering high-quality content. He writes about all sports, but his favorites are the NFL, NBA, MLB, and NHL. Kevin enjoys crunching the numbers and using data-driven insights to take on the sportsbooks. The majority of Kevin's time is spent writing about sports betting. His love for data and analytics drove him into the world of sports betting. Finding an edge in sports betting can take a long time, but Kevin believes it is well worth the effort. Kevin is just as passionate about sports as you are, and he empowers fellow bettors to become more educated through simple, actionable betting tips. It can be difficult to navigate the world of sports betting, which is where Kevin comes in to make it as simple as possible for you to pick a winner.