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Predators vs. Lightning prediction: Why Tampa Bay is favored to win Sunday's NHL matchup [3/29/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Nashville Predators vs Tampa Bay Lightning predictions for NHL Sunday.
The Tampa Bay Lightning and Nashville Predators will meet in the NHL at Benchmark International Arena on Sunday, with puck drop at 5:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven NHL model projects the Lightning as the most likely winner of the Predators vs. Lightning game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Predators vs. Lightning prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NHL game between the Predators and Lightning, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model gives the Lightning a 63% chance of defeating the Predators.
According to our model, the Predators (+1.5) have a 58% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 51% chance of staying under.
Predators vs. Lightning odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Predators | Lightning |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | +1.5 (-145) | -1.5 (+124) |
| Moneyline | +165 | -198 |
| Total | o6.5 (-115) | u6.5 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Predators vs. Lightning picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Predators +1.5 | -145 |
| Moneyline | Predators | +165 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | +100 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Predators vs. Lightning player props
Who will score a goal in Predators vs. Lightning?
According to our model, Jake Guentzel is most likely to score an anytime goal in Predators vs. Lightning.
Our projections give Guentzel a 48.4% chance of scoring a goal at Benchmark International Arena, while the star is a 10.2% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Nashville Predators
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Filip Forsberg | 35.4% |
| Steven Stamkos | 29.5% |
| Jonathan Marchessault | 22.5% |
| Ryan O'Reilly | 21.0% |
| Matthew Wood | 17.9% |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Jake Guentzel | 48.4% |
| Brayden Point | 45.9% |
| Brandon Hagel | 37.5% |
| Anthony Cirelli | 27.9% |
| Oliver Bjorkstrand | 22.0% |
First goal scorer predictions
Nashville Predators
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Filip Forsberg | 7.1% |
| Steven Stamkos | 4.7% |
| Jonathan Marchessault | 4.0% |
| Ryan O'Reilly | 3.7% |
| Roman Josi | 2.9% |
Tampa Bay Lightning
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Jake Guentzel | 10.2% |
| Brayden Point | 8.9% |
| Brandon Hagel | 6.8% |
| Anthony Cirelli | 5.5% |
| Gage Goncalves | 3.5% |
Predators vs. Lightning game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's matchup between the Lightning and Predators at Benchmark International Arena is scheduled to commence at 5:00 PM ET.
- Who: Nashville Predators vs. Tampa Bay Lightning
- Date: Sunday, March 29, 2026
- Time: 5:00 PM ET/2:00PM PT
- Venue: Benchmark International Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Lightning, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Predators on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Predators vs. Lightning insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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