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Canadiens vs. Jets prediction: Why Winnipeg is favored to win Wednesday's NHL matchup [2/4/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get Montreal Canadiens vs Winnipeg Jets predictions for NHL Wednesday.

Montreal Canadiens-Winnipeg Jets Predictions and Game Preview.
Montreal Canadiens vs. Winnipeg Jets NHL prediction for Wednesday, February 4, 2026.

The Winnipeg Jets and Montreal Canadiens will meet in the NHL at Canada Life Centre on Wednesday, with puck drop at 7:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced NHL model gives the Jets a slight edge with a 52% win probability over the Canadiens.

This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's Canadiens vs. Jets matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.

Habs vs. Jets prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's NHL game between the Canadiens and Jets 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Jets a 52% chance of defeating the Canadiens.

According to our model, the Canadiens (+1.5) have a 69% chance of covering the puck line, while the 6.5-goal over/under has a 55% chance of staying under.

 

Canadiens vs. Jets odds

We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Canadiens Jets
Puck Line +1.5 (-230) -1.5 (+195)
Moneyline +110 -128
Total o6.5 (+102) u6.5 (-122)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Canadiens vs. Jets picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Puck Line Canadiens +1.5 -230
Moneyline Canadiens +110
Total Under 6.5 -122

According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.

 

Canadiens vs. Jets player props

Who will score a goal in Canadiens vs. Jets?

According to our model, Kyle Connor is most likely to score an anytime goal in Canadiens vs. Jets.

Our projections give Connor a 39.3% chance of scoring a goal at Canada Life Centre, while the star is an 8.1% chance of netting the first goal the game.

Anytime goal scorer predictions

Montreal Canadiens

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Cole Caufield 38.0%
Nick Suzuki 27.4%
Ivan Demidov 27.0%
Juraj Slafkovsky 24.1%
Oliver Kapanen 21.8%

Winnipeg Jets

Player Anytime Goal Probability
Kyle Connor 39.3%
Mark Scheifele 37.5%
Gabriel Vilardi 30.0%
Cole Perfetti 23.4%
Jonathan Toews 21.5%

First goal scorer predictions

Montreal Canadiens

Player First Goal Probability
Cole Caufield 8.1%
Ivan Demidov 6.1%
Nick Suzuki 5.3%
Juraj Slafkovsky 4.1%
Oliver Kapanen 3.7%

Winnipeg Jets

Player First Goal Probability
Kyle Connor 8.1%
Mark Scheifele 7.4%
Gabriel Vilardi 5.5%
Cole Perfetti 4.2%
Jonathan Toews 3.8%

Habs vs. Jets game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's action between the Jets and Canadiens at Canada Life Centre is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the Jets, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat the Canadiens on Wednesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Canadiens vs. Jets insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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