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Canadiens vs. Flyers prediction: Why Montreal is favored to win Tuesday's NHL matchup [4/14/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get Montreal Canadiens vs Philadelphia Flyers predictions for NHL Tuesday.
The Philadelphia Flyers will take on the favored Montreal Canadiens in NHL action at Xfinity Mobile Arena on Tuesday, commencing at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model projects the Canadiens as the most likely winner of the Canadiens vs. Flyers game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Habs vs. Flyers prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's NHL matchup between the Canadiens and Flyers, forming part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Canadiens a 63% chance of beating the Flyers.
According to our model, the Flyers (+1.5) have a 59% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of six goals has a 51% chance of staying under.
Canadiens vs. Flyers odds
We have sourced the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Canadiens | Flyers |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (-105) | +1.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | -290 | +240 |
| Total | o6 (-120) | u6 (+100) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Canadiens vs. Flyers picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Flyers +1.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Flyers | +240 |
| Total | Under 6 | +100 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Flyers to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Canadiens vs. Flyers player props
Who will score a goal in Canadiens vs. Flyers?
According to our model, Cole Caufield is most likely to score an anytime goal in Canadiens vs. Flyers.
Our projections give Caufield a 41.6% chance of scoring a goal at Xfinity Mobile Arena, while the star is an 8.9% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Montreal Canadiens
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Cole Caufield | 41.6% |
| Nick Suzuki | 30.5% |
| Ivan Demidov | 27.8% |
| Juraj Slafkovsky | 26.4% |
| Alex Newhook | 26.0% |
Philadelphia Flyers
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Tyson Foerster | 34.2% |
| Matvei Michkov | 29.8% |
| Porter Martone | 29.8% |
| Anthony Richard | 24.6% |
| Alex Bump | 24.2% |
First goal scorer predictions
Montreal Canadiens
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Cole Caufield | 8.9% |
| Nick Suzuki | 5.7% |
| Alex Newhook | 5.1% |
| Ivan Demidov | 4.8% |
| Juraj Slafkovsky | 4.3% |
Philadelphia Flyers
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Tyson Foerster | 7.3% |
| Matvei Michkov | 5.9% |
| Porter Martone | 5.7% |
| Anthony Richard | 4.8% |
| Alex Bump | 4.2% |
Habs vs. Flyers game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's game between the Flyers and Canadiens at Xfinity Mobile Arena is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Montreal Canadiens vs. Philadelphia Flyers
- Date: Tuesday, April 14, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Xfinity Mobile Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Canadiens, with a 63% win probability, will likely beat the Flyers in Tuesday's NHL matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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