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Canadiens vs. Ducks prediction: Why Montreal is favored to win Friday's NHL matchup [3/6/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Montreal Canadiens vs Anaheim Ducks predictions for NHL Friday.
The Anaheim Ducks will face the Montreal Canadiens, in what is expected to be a close NHL game, at Honda Center on Friday, beginning at 9:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced NHL model gives the Canadiens a slight edge with a 52% win probability over the Ducks.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's Canadiens vs. Ducks matchup, including projected goal scorers, best bets and player prop picks.
Habs vs. Ducks prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's NHL game between the Canadiens and Ducks 10,000 times as part of our NHL predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Canadiens a 52% chance of beating the Ducks.
According to our model, the Ducks (+1.5) have a 69% chance of covering the puck line, while the over/under total of 6.5 goals has a 52% chance of going over.
Canadiens vs. Ducks odds
We have researched the best NHL odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Canadiens | Ducks |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | -1.5 (+220) | +1.5 (-265) |
| Moneyline | -110 | -106 |
| Total | o6.5 (-138) | u6.5 (+120) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Canadiens vs. Ducks picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Puck Line | Canadiens -1.5 | +220 |
| Moneyline | Canadiens | -110 |
| Total | Under 6.5 | +120 |
According to our NHL best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 6.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Canadiens vs. Ducks player props
Who will score a goal in Canadiens vs. Ducks?
According to our model, Cole Caufield is most likely to score an anytime goal in Canadiens vs. Ducks.
Our projections give Caufield a 44.1% chance of scoring a goal at Honda Center, while the star is an 8.8% chance of netting the first goal the game.
Anytime goal scorer predictions
Montreal Canadiens
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Cole Caufield | 44.1% |
| Nick Suzuki | 31.4% |
| Alex Newhook | 26.3% |
| Ivan Demidov | 25.9% |
| Juraj Slafkovsky | 22.5% |
Anaheim Ducks
| Player | Anytime Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Cutter Gauthier | 34.6% |
| Chris Kreider | 33.0% |
| Leo Carlsson | 30.9% |
| Beckett Sennecke | 27.2% |
| Mason McTavish | 25.1% |
First goal scorer predictions
Montreal Canadiens
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Cole Caufield | 8.8% |
| Nick Suzuki | 5.7% |
| Alex Newhook | 4.8% |
| Ivan Demidov | 4.4% |
| Juraj Slafkovsky | 3.7% |
Anaheim Ducks
| Player | First Goal Probability |
|---|---|
| Cutter Gauthier | 6.9% |
| Chris Kreider | 5.7% |
| Leo Carlsson | 5.7% |
| Beckett Sennecke | 4.5% |
| Ryan Poehling | 4.1% |
Habs vs. Ducks game-day updates and essential details
Friday's matchup between the Ducks and Canadiens at Honda Center is scheduled to begin at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: Montreal Canadiens vs. Anaheim Ducks
- Date: Friday, March 6, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Honda Center
Conclusion
We predict the Canadiens, with a 52% win probability, will likely beat the Ducks on Friday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Canadiens vs. Ducks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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