May 31, 2026
Tigers vs. White Sox prediction: Why White Sox are favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [5/31/2026]
Read Article Home run predictions and picks: Top bet for Sunday has +820 odds [5/31/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get home run predictions today driven by expert analysis of Sunday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Sunday, May 31, 2026, feature Shohei Ohtani as the top projected hitter, per Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Sunday's HR projections come straight from our home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the most likely home run hitters today.
Home run predictions for May 31, 2026
See which hitters join Ohtani on today’s list — plus a long-shot pick the model rates as value at +820.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 25.0% |
| Aaron Judge (Yankees) | 22.9% |
| Rafael Devers (Giants) | 19.9% |
| Nick Kurtz (Athletics) | 19.5% |
| Kyle Tucker (Dodgers) | 19.0% |
| Shea Langeliers (Athletics) | 18.8% |
| Max Muncy (Dodgers) | 18.1% |
| Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) | 18.0% |
| Juan Soto (Mets) | 18.0% |
| Junior Caminero (Rays) | 17.8% |
Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 25.0% chance to go yard, followed by Aaron Judge (22.9%) and Rafael Devers (19.9%).
Nick Kurtz and Kyle Tucker are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR probability for Sunday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Sunday's home run picks [5/31/2026]
Powered by 10,000 simulations and data-driven variables like weather and pitcher form, Dimers Pro spotlights today’s top home run prop.
Pete Crow-Armstrong (Cubs) to hit a home run
- Probability: 12.9%
- Odds: +820
- Edge: 2.0%
- Game: Cubs vs. Cardinals (7:20 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Matthew Liberatore
Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Chicago slugger Pete Crow-Armstrong rates as a value play at +820 with FanDuel Sportsbook, showing a 2.0% edge.
With Matthew Liberatore on the mound for the Cardinals, the data supports Crow-Armstrong as one of Sunday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.
Pro users have access to all of our home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
Conclusion
For May 31, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Aaron Judge and Rafael Devers projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Pete Crow-Armstrong who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 2.0% edge at +820 odds.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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