Today’s top 10 most likely home run hitters, plus +950 pick for Friday [5/29/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get home run predictions today driven by expert analysis of Friday's MLB slate.

MLB Home Run Predictions Today.
Our home run predictions for May 29, 2026, are based on Friday's latest data and matchups.

Our MLB home run predictions for Friday, May 29, 2026, feature Aaron Judge as the top projected hitter, according to Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.

Friday's HR projections come straight from our home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the most likely home run hitters today.

Home run predictions for May 29, 2026

See which hitters join Judge on today’s list — plus a long-shot pick the model rates as value at +950.

Player (Team) HR Projection
Aaron Judge (Yankees) 25.2%
Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) 20.3%
Rafael Devers (Giants) 19.6%
Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) 19.2%
Ben Rice (Yankees) 19.1%
Eugenio Suarez (Reds) 19.0%
Nick Kurtz (Athletics) 18.7%
Matt Olson (Braves) 18.6%
Ronald Acuna (Braves) 18.6%
Juan Soto (Mets) 18.4%

Our analysis shows Judge leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 25.2% chance to go deep, followed by Kyle Schwarber (20.3%) and Rafael Devers (19.6%).

Shohei Ohtani and Ben Rice are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.

Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Friday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.

Aaron Judge 2026.
Aaron Judge appears in our home run predictions on Friday, May 29, 2026.

Friday's home run picks [5/29/2026]

Powered by 10,000 simulations and data-driven variables like weather and pitcher form, Dimers Pro spotlights today’s top home run prop.

Josh Jung (Rangers) to hit a home run

  • Probability: 13.3%
  • Odds: +950
  • Edge: 3.8%
  • Game: Royals vs. Rangers (8:05 PM EDT)
  • Pitching matchup: Stephen Kolek

Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Texas slugger Josh Jung rates as a value play at +950 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 3.8% edge.

With Stephen Kolek on the mound for the Royals, the data supports Jung as one of Friday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.

 

Pro users have access to a total of 14 home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.

Conclusion

For May 29, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Aaron Judge, Kyle Schwarber and Rafael Devers projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Josh Jung who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 3.8% edge at +950 odds.

For tips and resources on responsible wagering, visit our Responsible Gambling section.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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